Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Indiana Hoosiers College Football Betting Pick

Victor TrejosCollege Football, Football

The Indiana Hoosiers (-2.5) and Minnesota Golden Gophers are set to square off on the turf at TCF Bank Stadium. FS1 has the TV rights and this Friday game is scheduled to start at 8:00 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Indiana Hoosiers

In this Friday Big Ten matchup, Indiana is projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 2.5 points. The Hoosiers are also receiving -140 moneyline odds while the Golden Gophers are +120. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 54.5 points. It looks like this showdown will probably offer some in-game betting opportunities.

The Hoosiers are 3-5 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 1.0 unit this season. The team has posted an Over-Under record of 5-3.

The Golden Gophers are down 1.0 unit for moneyline bettors so far. They’re 4-3 ATS and own an O/U record of 4-3.

The Hoosiers have gone 4-4 straight up (SU), including 1-4 SU against Big 10 opponents. The Golden Gophers are 3-4 SU overall and 0-4 SU in conference play.

The Hoosiers came up short to Penn State 33-28 in a contest where the Hoosiers completed 35-of-55 passes for 330 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Peyton Ramsey went 26-for-36 for 236 yards, one touchdown and one interception while Michael Penix Jr. completed nine-of-19 for 94 yards. Stevie Scott (138 yards on 26 rush attempts, two TDs) and the signal-caller Ramsey (-5 yards on 11 carries) led the ground attack in the loss. Luke Timian (six receptions, 58 yards) and Donavan Hale (four catches, 52 yards) shared the receiving duties.

One week ago, Nebraska knocked off this Minnesota team by a score of 53-28. The Gophers defense let the Cornhuskers run for 383 yards on 43 rush attempts, including four rush TDs. Devine Ozigbo was outstandingfor the Cornhuskers, putting up 152 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 12 attempts. As a group, the Gophers collectively completed 20-of-36 passes for 349 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Zack Annexstad went nine-for-20 for 135 yards and one touchdown while Tanner Morgan was 11-of-16 for 214 yards and one interception. Mohamed Ibrahim (49 rushing yards on 18 attempts, one TD) mounted the ground game in the defeat while Tyler Johnson (11 receptions, 184 yards) and Demetrius Douglas (three catches, 31 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps.

Indiana has run the ball on 48.0 percent of its offensive plays this year, including 41.6 percent across possessions in conference play. Minnesota has a rush percentage of 56.4 percent, and has run the ball 52.4 percent of the time when facing Big 10 opponents. The Hoosiers have produced 159.0 rush yards per game (including 113.4 per game versus Big Ten opponents) and have 11 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Gophers are putting up 146.9 rush yards per game (120.8 in conference) and have 11 total rushing TDs.

The Hoosiers offensive scheme has tallied 259.9 yards per game in the air overall (295.0 per game against conference opposition) and has 14 passing TDs so far. The Gophers have produced 221.3 pass yards per game (243 in the Big 10) and have 10 total pass scores.

Indiana has allowed opponents to run for an average of 159.8 yards and pass for 229.5 yards per game. The Minnesota defense has allowed 238.9 yards per game to opposing passers and 158.9 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Hoosiers have given up an ANY/A of 6.32 to opposing QBs, while the Gophers are yielding an ANY/A of 6.46.

Annexstad has managed to complete 84-of-164 passes for 1,059 yards, nine TDs and five INTs for Minnesota. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 5.15 for the season and 5.85 across his past two outings. In the other huddle, Ramsey is up to 1,597 passing yards this season, and has completed 167-of-247 attempts with 12 passing touchdowns and six interceptions. Ramsey’s got a 5.60 ANY/A for the year, though that number sits at 4.02 over the last two outings.

These two conference foes did not get a chance to face each other in 2017.

Indiana Hoosiers vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers Free Prediction

SU Winner: Minnesota, ATS Winner: Minnesota, O/U: Under

Team Betting Notes

  • The Indiana D has sacked opposing quarterbacks 14 times this year. Minnesota has produced 13 sacks.
  • Minnesota has lost five fumbles in 2018 while Indiana has lost six.
  • The Hoosiers offense has created one pass play of 40+ yards, while the Golden Gophers have put up three such plays.
  • The Indiana defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Minnesota has given up six such plays.
  • The Indiana offense has created eight rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Minnesota has created six such runs.
  • The Hoosiers defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Golden Gophers have given up 15 such runs.
  • Indiana has lost five of its last six games SU, with a seven-point victory over Rutgers on September 29th representing the only win over that span.
  • Indiana, as a team, has produced 4.1 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.2 over its last two.
  • Minnesota has averaged 3.9 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.4 over its last two.