Florida Gators vs. LSU Tigers Free Prediction 03/15/19

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The Florida Gators (18-14, 10-9 SEC) face off against the ninth-ranked LSU Tigers (26-5, 16-2 SEC) in the Southeastern Conference Tourney at Bridgestone Arena. The Tigers opened as a 2-point favorite. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 135 points and it can be seen on ESPN at 1 p.m. ET on Friday, March 15, 2019.

Florida Gators vs. LSU Tigers ATS Odds

Both teams covered as favorites in their last contest. The Tigers (13-point favorites) defeated the Vanderbilt Commodores 80-59 in their last matchup, while the Gators (10.5-point favorites) beat the Arkansas Razorbacks 66-50 in their last outing. The LSU game finished 3 points under the projected point total of 142, while the Florida game went 11.5 points under the projected point total of 127.5.

Florida dominated every stat category in the game. They had an absurd offensive rebounding percentage of 52.8 (above their season average of 30.7) and a turnover percentage of 15.6 (worse than their season average of 15.3). Arkansas was 29.0 and 19.7, respectively, for those same stats. The Tigers, meanwhile, had an absurd offensive rebounding percentage of 43.3 (above their season average of 37.2) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.610 (above their season average of 0.514). Tremont Waters played a key role for LSU with 14 points and eight assists. Keyontae Johnson, meanwhile had a good game for Florida, putting up 20 points and 12 rebounds.

Gators games have a tendency to finish under the projected point total (67.7 percent). Florida comes into the game with records of 18-14 straight up (SU) and 13-18 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to Florida, games including the Tigers have a tendency to finish over the O/U total (58.1 percent). Further, LSU is 26-5 SU and 19-12 ATS.

This battle pits one of the nation’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses. LSU ranks 29th in offensive efficiency and Florida ranks 46th in defensive efficiency.

Florida Gators vs. LSU Tigers Odds Pick

Basketball Prediction: SU Winner – Lsu, ATS Winner – LSU, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • LSU ranks 30th in rebounds per game (38.7) while Florida ranks 233rd (33.6).
  • The Tigers rank 38th in blocks per game (4.4) while the Gators rank 82nd (3.8).
  • Florida is 33rd in the nation with 10.9 assists allowed per game while LSU is 42nd with 11.3 assists allowed per game.
  • The Gators rank 79th in three pointers attempted per game (24.5) while the Tigers rank 179th in three pointers allowed per game (22.8).
  • Florida averages 7.3 steals per game, which ranks 55th in the country. LSU ranks 142nd in steals allowed per game (6.5).

Bettings Trends:

  • The Tigers are 5-0 ATS over their last five games, while the Gators are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, LSU has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Florida has 4 unders and 1 over.
  • During their last five games, the Tigers have scored an average of 76.2 points per game (5.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 68.2 points per game (4.7 below their season average).
  • The Gators’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.2, down from 4.9 for the season.