Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Toledo Rockets: 10/26/2019 ATS Pick

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The Rockets (-4) are set to host the Eastern Michigan Eagles in Toledo. The opening kickoff for this pivotal MAC game is set for 3:30 p.m. ET and spectators can witness the action live on ESPN+.

Betting Preview: Toledo Rockets vs. Eastern Michigan Eagles

In this Saturday Mid-American game, Toledo has been tabbed as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 4 points. The Eagles are also receiving +165 moneyline odds while the Rockets are -185. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 57 points. If Toledo gets behind in the early stages, it’ll likely create a decent live betting opportunity.

This game’s opening line was -5, while the O/U has not moved after being initially placed at 57.

Both of these teams have been profitable this year as the Eagles have gained 2.0 units and the Rockets are ahead 1.2 units.

The Eagles have gone 4-3 straight up (SU), including 1-2 SU against MAC opponents. The Rockets are 4-3 SU overall and 1-2 SU in conference play.

When these two teams met a year ago, Eastern Michigan earned the win 28-26.

The Eagles are coming off a 34-27 victory over Western Michigan last weekTheir defense allowed the Broncos to rush for 167 yards on 36 attempts, including three rush TDs. LeVante Bellamy had a productive day for the Broncos in that one with 113 rushing yards and all three touchdowns on 28 attempts. On the offensive side of the ball, the Eagles completed 35-of-41 passes for 407 yards and three touchdowns. Preston Hutchinson went 31-for-36 for 357 yards and three touchdowns while Jairus Grissom completed four-of-five for 50 yards. Shaq Vann (97 yards on 17 rush attempts) and the signal-caller Hutchinson (nine yards on 13 carries, one TD) led the running attack. Dylan Drummond (eight receptions, 69 yards, one TD) and Arthur Jackson III (seven catches, 98 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.

One week ago, Ball State got the win against this Toledo crew by a score of 52-14. The Rockets defensive unit allowed the Cardinals to eat up the clock by running for 374 yards on 50 rush attempts, including four rush TDs. Caleb Huntley put up a good outing in the win, recording 119 rushing yards on 20 attempts for Ball State. For Toledo, Carter Bradley completed 14-of-34 passes for 137 yards and one interception. Bryant Koback (38 rushing yards on 13 attempts) led the running game while Desmond Phillips (three receptions, 46 yards) and Nick Kovacs (three catches, 53 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

Eastern Michigan’s run the ball on 45.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Toledo has a rush percentage of 61.2 percent. The Eagles have produced 100.3 rush yards per game (including 97.3 per game versus Mid-American opponents) and have six touchdowns on the ground this year. The Rockets are logging 227.7 rush yards per game (181.7 in conference) and have 15 total rushing TDs.

The Eagles offense has logged 290.3 yards/contest in the air overall (304 per game against conference opposition) and has 17 passing scores so far. The Rockets have put up 208.9 pass yards per game (210 in the MAC) and have nine total pass TDs.

Defensively, Eastern Michigan should have the upper hand in both facets. The team has allowed 180.9 rush yards and 254.3 pass yards per game. The Toledo D has allowed 271 yards per game to opposing passers and 204.3 yards per game on the ground. The Rockets are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.43 to opposing QBs, while the Eagles have allowed a 7.04 ANY/A.

Guadagni has connected on 79-of-122 passes for 1,099 yards, eight TDs and two INTs. Guadagni’s adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 8.43 for the season and 9.14 over his last two outings. In the other locker room, Hutchinson has put up 372 passing yards this year, and has completed 34-of-41 attempts with three passing touchdowns and has yet to throw an interception. Hutchinson’s got a pristine 8.65 ANY/A for the year, although that number is 10.18 over the past two outings.

Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Toledo Rockets Free Prediction

SU Winner: Toledo, ATS Winner: Toledo, O/U: Over

Team Betting Notes

  • The Over/Under for Eastern Michigan’s last game going into it was 62. The under cashed in the team’s 34-27 win over Western Michigan.
  • As a team, Eastern Michigan has produced 2.9 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.2 over its last two.
  • Toledo has averaged 4.2 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 3.5 over its last two.
  • Toledo has lost seven fumbles this season while Eastern Michigan has let three get away.
  • In its last three games, Eastern Michigan is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • The O/U for Toledo’s last matchup was set at 58.5. The over cashed in the team’s 52-14 defeat to Ball State.
  • In its last three matches, Toledo is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • The Eagles offense has tallied three pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Rockets have put up six such plays.
  • The Eastern Michigan defense has allowed eight pass plays of 40+ yards, while Toledo has given up six such plays.
  • The Eastern Michigan offense has created four rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Toledo has created 16 such runs.
  • The Eagles defense has allowed seven rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Rockets have given up 17 such runs.
  • Each team defense has produced 13 sacks this year.