The Duke Blue Devils and Virginia Cavaliers will collide on the grass at David A. Harrison III Field at Scott Stadium. ACC Network owns the TV rights and kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET.
Betting Preview: Duke Blue Devils at Virginia Cavaliers
Duke is a live dog and is currently getting 4 points in this Saturday ACC game. The Blue Devils are also receiving +155 moneyline odds while the Cavaliers are -175. This ACC matchup should provide several decent in-game betting possibilities, and Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 46.5 points.
This game’s opening line was -4, while the total has yet to move after being initially set at 46.5.
The Blue Devils have gained 1.4 units so far and are 3-2-1 against the spread (ATS). The team’s recorded an O/U mark of 5-1.
The Cavaliers have gained 0.0 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 2-3-1 ATS and own an even O/U record of 3-3.
The Blue Devils are 4-2 straight up (SU), including 2-1 SU against conference opponents. The Cavaliers are 4-2 SU overall and 2-1 SU in conference play.
The Blue Devils hope to make it two in a row 41-23 victory over Georgia Tech last week. Quentin Harris completed only 11-of-20 passes for 176 yards. Deon Jackson (69 rushing yards on 20 attempts, two TDs) and the signal-caller Harris (38 yards on 14 carries, one TD) led the running attack. Jalon Calhoun (four receptions, 68 yards) and Scott Bracey (two catches, 22 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.
Virginia most-recently fell 17-9 to Miami (FL). Bryce Perkins completed 24-of-41 passes for 244 yards. Perkins (27 rushing yards on 17 attempts) spearheaded the running game while Hasise Dubois (seven receptions, 93 yards) and Joe Reed (five catches, 33 yards) led all Virginia pass-catchers in the loss.
Duke has run the ball on 58.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Virginia has a rush percentage of 46.4 percent. The Blue Devils have rushed for 182.8 yards/game (including 184.7 per game versus Atlantic Coast opponents) and have 13 scores on the ground this year. The Wahoos are logging 102 rush yards per game (107.7 in conference) and have nine total rushing TDs.
The Blue Devils offense has averaged 204.5 yards through the air overall (176.3 per game versus conference opposition) and has 12 passing TDs so far. The Wahoos have produced 254 pass yards per game (240 against ACC competition) and have eight total pass scores.
Defensively, Duke has let opponents rush for an average of 133.7 yards and pass for 212.2 yards per game. The Virginia defense has given up 183.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 90.0 yards per game to opposing runners. The Wahoos are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.48 to opposing QBs, while the Blue Devils have given up a 6.01 ANY/A.
Offensively, Harris has put up 1,018 passing yards this season, and has connected on 70 percent of his 138 attempts with 10 passing scores and only two interceptions. Harris has a 7.90 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 3.51 over the last two outings.
In the other locker room, Bryce Perkins has completed 105-of-165 passes for 1,087 yards, six TDs and four INTs. Perkins’ ANY/A sits at 5.38 for the year and 4.59 across his last two games.
When these two teams met last year, Virginia won by a couple of touchdowns 28-14.
Duke Blue Devils vs. Virginia Cavaliers Free Prediction
SU Winner: Duke, ATS Winner: Duke, O/U: Over
Team Betting Trends
- The Virginia defense has sacked opposing QBs 27 times this year. Duke has registered just 17 sacks.
- Both offenses have lost five fumbles this season.
- Both passing attacks have produced three pass plays of 40+ yards. The Blue Devils have have made six pass plays of 30+ yards while the Cavaliers have created seven such plays.
- Both teams have allowed two pass plays of 40+ yards. The Duke defense has given up five pass plays of 30+ yards while Virginia has permitted seven such plays.
- The Duke offense has created eight rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Virginia has created three such runs.
- The Blue Devils defense has allowed 12 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Cavaliers have given up four such runs.
- The Over/Under for Virginia’s last matchup was set at 43.5. The under cashed in the 17-9 defeat to Miami (FL).
- Over its last three matchups, Virginia is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- In its last three contests, Duke is 1-1-1 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
- Duke has won five of its last six games SU, with an October 5th defeat to Pittsburgh accounting for the only loss over that span.
- The O/U for Duke’s previous game was set at 46.5. The over cashed in the team’s 41-23 victory over Georgia Tech.
- As a team, Duke has rushed for 4.0 yards per attempt over its past three outings and 3.2 over its last two.
- Virginia has averaged 1.7 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 1.3 over its past two.
