The Detroit Tigers will play the Seattle Mariners at Safeco Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET and this AL showdown will be televised on RTNW and FSDT.
Detroit Tigers at Seattle Mariners Odds
Seattle (-155) is favored over Detroit (+145) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 8.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the games total sit at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at -150 for the Tigers +1.5 runs and +130 for the Mariners -1.5 runs.
The Tigers are 20-25 SU and have gone 26-18 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 2.2 units for moneyline bettors in the seasons early going and 4.6 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Mariners, on the other hand, are 26-19 SU and 24-20 ATS. They’ve gained 5.0 units for moneyline bettors and 2.5 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Seattle games have an over/under record of 26-18 so far in 2018. The Tigers have an over/under record of 20-23-1.
Southpaw Francisco Liriano is the probable starter for the visiting Tigers. Liriano is 3-1 with a 4.03 ERA and 32 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mariners this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Mariners will put the ball in the left hand of Wade LeBlanc (0-0, 2.51 ERA, 1.05 WHIP), who has 22 strikeouts and four walks. LeBlanc did not record a start against the Tigers in 2017.
Seattle’s pitching staff has given up 4.5 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.57, a WHIP of 1.30 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.3. The bullpen has a 4.01 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 10.1 K/9.
The Seattle offense is putting up 4.6 runs per contest, including 5.0 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .256/.328/.417 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Mariners offense has been led by right fielder Mitch Haniger and second baseman Robinson Cano. Haniger is slashing .291/.372/.552 with 10 home runs, 34 RBIs and 21 runs scored, while Cano’s line is .287/.385/.441 with four homers, 23 RBIs and 24 runs scored.
Haniger seemed to take a step back when hitting lefties at home in 2017, slashing .231/.286/.442 across 56 such plate appearances (his overall season line was .282/.352/.491).
In the other dugout, Detroit’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.34 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 7.25 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.44, along with a K/9 of 8.22.
Tigers hitters have slashed .257/.317/.411 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.2 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the teams last five outings (2-3 SU).
Detroit’s hitters have been powered by right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and third baseman Jeimer Candelario. Castellanos is slashing .309/.363/.485 with four home runs, 24 RBIs and 22 runs scored, while Candelario is hitting .272/.359/.497 with five homers, 16 RBIs and 21 runs scored.
Maintaining a slash line of .329/.368/.720 across 87 such plate appearances, Castellanos enjoyed hitting against left-handed pitchers on the road in 2017 (compared to his total season slash line of .272/.320/.490).
The Tigers have gained 4.1 units and are 7-3 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in seven of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mariners have lost 0.7 units and are 9-7 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in seven of those games, as opposed to nine which went under the total.
Detroit Tigers at Seattle Mariners Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The Tigers have lost three of their last four games SU.
- Seattle has posted 23.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.0 over its last five.
- The Tigers have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Mariners have hit 11 over their last 10.
