The Detroit Tigers will head south to play the Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park. ATTSN Southwest will broadcast this AL showdown and the game gets underway at 8:10 p.m. ET.
Detroit Tigers at Houston Astros Odds
Vegas has listed Detroit (+295) as the underdog to Houston (-370). If you think this game’s total will go under 10 runs, Vegas is currently offering -125 odds. Taking the over will return +105 odds. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at Tigers +1.5 runs (+150) and Astros -1.5 runs (-170).
The Astros are 79-46 straight up (SU) and 65-59 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t strayed too far from expectations, losing 1.0 units for moneyline bettors and 1.8 units ATS. The Tigers have gone 37-84 SU this year and are 49-71 against the spread. In total, the club has lost 31.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 30.5 units ATS.
Astros games have an over/under record of 56-65-3 in 2019. Detroit has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 53-59-8.
Right-hander Edwin Jackson is projected to start for the visiting Tigers. Jackson is 3-5 with an 8.62 ERA and 27 strikeouts. He has yet to face Houston this year, but he did make two starts against the Astros in 2018, putting together a 0-0 record against them with a 3.72 ERA and six strikeouts.
The Astros are countering with Wade Miley (11-4, 3.11 ERA). Miley has 117 strikeouts and 48 walks, along with a 1.18 WHIP. Miley is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 6.00 ERA in one start against Detroit this year.
Houston’s pitching staff has allowed 4.1 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.72 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 10.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.78 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.7 K/9.
The Houston offense has put up 5.5 runs per outing, including 6.5 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .266/.332/.490 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.
The Astros’ batters have been led by left fielder Michael Brantley and first baseman Yuli Gurriel. Brantley is hitting .335/.392/.541 with 18 home runs, 74 RBIs and 75 runs scored, while Gurriel’s line sits at .304/.341/.548 with 25 homers, 86 RBIs and 69 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, Detroit’s pitching staff allowed 5.6 runs per game and its starters own a 5.14 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.53 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.09, along with a WHIP of 1.39 and a K-per-9 of 8.19.
The Tigers offense has slashed .236/.295/.385 on its way to 3.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Miguel Cabrera and Nicholas Castellanos continue to lead Detroit’s offense. Cabrera is slashing .278/.339/.390 with nine home runs, 48 RBIs and 32 runs scored. Castellanos (.273/.328/.462) has produced 11 homers, 37 RBIs and 57 runs scored.
The Tigers have lost 2.2 units and are 14-12 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 15 of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Astros have lost 11.9 units and are 47-44 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 43 of those games, compared to 46 that went under the total.
Tigers at Astros Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has cashed in five of Detroit’s last seven games.
- The Tigers have a team OPS of .680 this season, including an OPS of .714 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Astros’ OPS sits at .839 overall and .892 against lefties.
- The Tigers have dropped three of their last four games SU.
- Detroit has recorded 20.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.8 over its last five.
- The Tigers have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Astros have hit 20 over their last 10.
