Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Indians Betting Preview

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The Detroit Tigers will make a road trip to Cleveland to take on their divisional rival Indians at Progressive Field. Fox Sports Detroit will broadcast the matchup and the game will get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians Odds

Cleveland (-205) is the giant favorite against Detroit (+187) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at 9.5 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). The game’s runline odds sit at -115 for taking the Tigers +1.5 runs and -105 for the Indians -1.5.

The Tigers have gone 45-104 SU this year and are 61-87 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 37.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 31.5 units ATS. Detroit’s covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Indians, on the other hand, are 87-63 SU and 81-69 ATS. The team has gained 0.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.3 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Cleveland games have an over/under record of 65-81-4 in 2019. Detroit has an over/under record of 68-69-11.

Cleveland’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.75, a WHIP of 1.18 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.5. The bullpen has a 3.68 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.4 K/9. In 70 games against AL Central opponents, Indians starters have an ERA of 3.66 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.19.

The Cleveland offense is putting up 4.7 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .244/.339/.417 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Indians’ batters have been led by shortstop Francisco Lindor and first baseman Carlos Santana. Lindor is slashing .292/.343/.535 with 31 home runs, 70 RBIs, 93 runs and 21 stolen bases, while Santana’s line sits at .280/.398/.527 with 34 homers, 89 RBIs and 102 runs scored.

For the visitors, Detroit’s pitching staff allowed 5.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.48 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.51 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.00, along with a K/9 of 8.51.

The Tigers offense has slashed .242/.299/.391 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Miguel Cabrera and Nicholas Castellanos continue to lead Detroit’s hitters. Cabrera is slashing .285/.349/.394 with 10 home runs, 55 RBIs and 38 runs scored, while Castellanos (.273/.328/.462) has produced 11 homers, 37 RBIs and 57 runs scored.

The Tigers have lost 33.0 units and are 43-71 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over’s hit in 48 of those games, compared to 57 that’ve gone under against -handed starting pitchers.

Tigers at Indians MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The under has cashed in three of Detroit’s last seven games.
  • Cleveland has posted 20.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.2 over its last five.
  • The Tigers have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Indians have hit 12 over their last 10.