The Detroit Tigers are set to face off against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park in the 1 game of a doubleheader. This AL matchup will begin at 1:05 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports Detroit.
Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox Odds
Boston (receiving -205 odds) is the enormous favorite against Detroit and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total currently sit at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at -115 for the Tigers +1.5 runs and -105 for the Red Sox -1.5.
The Tigers are 10-10 SU and are 11-9 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 2.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline over the early portions of the year, despite having lost 0.4 units ATS. Detroit is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 9-13 SU and 6-16 ATS. They’ve lost 12.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.9 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Red Sox games have an over/under record of 12-9-1 so far in 2019. The Tigers have been a decent under bet with a total record of 7-13.
The left-handed Matthew Boyd is projected to start for the visiting Tigers. Boyd is 1-1 with a 2.96 ERA and 36 strikeouts. He has yet to face Boston this year, but he did make two starts against the team in 2018, posting a 1-1 record with a 2.38 ERA and 12 strikeouts.
The Red Sox are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Chris Sale (0-4, 8.50 ERA), who’s got 14 strikeouts and five walks, along with a WHIP of 1.56. Sale only made one start against the Tigers in 2018 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and nine strikeouts across six innings).
As a unit, Boston’s pitchers have yielded 6.0 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has a 6.28 ERA, 1.57 WHIP and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.78 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 10.7 K/9.
The Boston hitters are putting up 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .222/.301/.389 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Outfielder J.D. Martinez and shortstop Xander Bogaerts have led the Red Sox offense so far. Martinez is hitting .350/.441/.563 with four home runs, 11 RBIs and 12 runs scored, and Bogaerts has put up a line of .276/.364/.434 with 21 hits, 10 RBIs and 12 runs.
In the other dugout, Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.22 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 8.95 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.29, along with a WHIP of 1.11.
Tigers hitters have slashed .218/.292/.346 on their way to 3.0 runs scored per game this year, including 3.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Miguel Cabrera and Nicholas Castellanos have led Detroit’s hitters. Cabrera is slashing .267/.349/.307 with 20 hits, six RBIs and six runs scored, while Castellanos (.261/.316/.406) has produced 18 hits, four RBIs and 10 runs scored.
The Tigers have lost 1.1 units and are 0-1 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in one of those games, compared to zero that’ve gone under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 4.5 units and are 1-6 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in four of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under.
Tigers at Red Sox MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in only two of Boston’s last seven games.
- The Tigers have an OPS of .638 this season and an OPS of .568 against left-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS sits at .693 overall and .719 against lefties.
- Boston has recorded 18.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 18.6 over its last five.
- The Tigers have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit 11 over their last 10.
