The Detroit Tigers will make a road trip to Minneapolis to play their divisional rival Twins at Target Field. The first pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports North will televise the action.
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Detroit (+187) as the dog to Minnesota (-205). The total stands at nine runs and bettors can take either the over or the under for -110. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at Tigers +1.5 runs (-115) and Twins -1.5 runs (-105).
The Tigers have gone 38-87 SU this year and are 52-72 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 30.0 units for moneyline bettors and 27.0 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Twins, on the other hand, are 77-50 SU and 70-57 ATS. The team’s gained 15.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.6 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Twins games have an over/under record of 66-56-5 in 2019. Detroit has been a decent under bet with a total record of 54-61-9.
Drew VerHagen is getting the nod for the visiting Tigers. The right-handed VerHagen is 3-2 with a 6.67 ERA and 23 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Twins this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Twins are putting the ball in the right hand of Jose Berrios (10-6, 3.37 ERA, 1.18 WHIP), who has 150 strikeouts and 38 walks this season. Berrios is 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 2.70 ERA in one start against Detroit this year.
As a unit, Minnesota’s pitching staff has given up 4.7 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 4.03, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has a 4.35 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 9.4 K/9. In 47 games against divisional opponents, Twins starters have an ERA of 3.83 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.66.
Minnesota’s offense is putting up 5.8 runs per outing, including 5.5 per game against divisional foes and 7.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .307/.355/.503 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Twins’ batters have been led by shortstop Jorge Polanco and left fielder Eddie Rosario. Polanco is hitting .295/.358/.496 with 19 home runs, 66 RBIs and 81 runs scored, and Rosario’s line sits at .282/.307/.515 with 27 homers, 85 RBIs and 74 runs.
For the visiting squad, Detroit’s pitching staff allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starters own a 5.17 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.53 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.02, along with a K/9 of 8.20.
The Tigers offense has slashed .235/.294/.385 on its way to 3.6 runs scored per game this year, including 4.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Miguel Cabrera and Nicholas Castellanos have led Detroit’s offense. Cabrera is hitting .278/.339/.387 with nine home runs, 50 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Castellanos (.273/.328/.462) has produced 11 homers, 37 RBIs and 57 runs scored.
The Tigers have lost 26.9 units and are 37-60 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 39 of those games, compared to 51 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers.
Tigers at Twins Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in four of Minnesota’s last seven games.
- The Tigers have a total OPS of .680 this season and an OPS of .667 against right-handed pitchers. The Twins’ OPS stands at .838 overall and .818 against righties.
- Detroit has posted 19.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.6 over its last five.
- The Tigers have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
