Nicholas Castellanos and the slumping Detroit Tigers will be taking the field versus their divisional rival Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field in a Thursday night game. Fox Sports Detroit will broadcast the matchup and the game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Indians Odds
Bookmakers have Detroit (+187) as the underdog to Cleveland (-205). The total currently stands at 9 runs and bettors can play the over for -115 or the under for -105. This game currently has a runline of Tigers +1.5 (-115) and Indians -1.5 (-105).
The Indians are 54-40 straight up (SU) and 46-47 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 1.6 units for moneyline bettors and 1.6 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Tigers are 29-62 SU and have gone 36-54 ATS. Overall, the club has lost 21.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 24.0 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Cleveland games have a 40-50-3 over/under record thus far in 2019. The Tigers have an over/under record of 42-43-5.
Matthew Boyd will get the nod for Detroit. The southpaw Boyd is 6-7 with a 3.95 ERA and 152 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 12 strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Cleveland this year (two starts).
The Indians are turning to righty Trevor Bauer (8-7, 3.65 ERA), who’s got 160 punchouts and 54 walks as well as a 1.19 WHIP. Bauer is 1-1 with 20 strikeouts and a 4.34 ERA over three starts against Detroit this year.
Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 5.6 runs per game and its starters own a 5.22 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.31 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.03, along with a WHIP of 1.41.
Tigers hitters have slashed .234/.296/.384 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game this season, including 4.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Nicholas Castellanos and Miguel Cabrera continue to lead Detroit’s offense. Castellanos is slashing .283/.344/.473 with 10 home runs, 35 RBIs and 54 runs scored, while Cabrera (.289/.351/.382) is up to five homers, 37 RBIs and 23 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Cleveland’s pitching staff has allowed 4.2 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 4.16 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.40 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.4 K/9. In 42 divisional games, Indians starters have an ERA of 3.95 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.83.
The Cleveland offense has put up 4.6 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .285/.333/.527 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
First baseman Carlos Santana and shortstop Francisco Lindor have led the Indians’ hitters this year. Santana is slashing .289/.407/.536 with 21 home runs, 54 RBIs and 65 runs scored, while Lindor’s line sits at .289/.347/.500 with 15 homers, 35 RBIs, 47 runs and 13 stolen bases.
The Tigers have lost 20.5 units and are 27-45 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 30 of those games, as opposed to 38 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Indians have netted 6.0 units and are 17-12 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 16 of those games, compared to 13 that went under the total.
Tigers at Indians Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in three of Detroit’s last seven games.
- The Tigers have dropped eight of their last nine games SU.
- Cleveland has recorded 26.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 24.6 over its last five.
- The Tigers have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Indians have hit 21 over their last 10.
- The Tigers have a total OPS of .680 this season and an OPS of .671 against right-handed pitchers. The Indians’ OPS sits at .746 overall and .764 versus righties.
