Anthony Mantha, Tyler Bertuzzi, and the Detroit Red Wings will face off against Auston Matthews, Mitchell Marner, and the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena in an Original Six tilt. The first puck will drop at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 21, and you can catch the game live on Fox Sports Detroit.
Detroit Red Wings at Toronto Maple Leafs Odds
With a -275 moneyline, Toronto enters the contest as the obvious favorite. The line for the Red Wings is standing at +240, and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under (O/U) at 7 goals (-125 for the over, +105 for the under).
Losing 5.5 units for moneyline gamblers, Toronto is 18-18 straight up (SU) overall in the 2019-20 season. That winning percentage, ranked third in the Atlantic Division so far in this young season, is a slide from what the team managed during last year’s regular season (46-36). Among its 36 games this season, 18 have gone over the total, while 15 have gone under and just two have pushed. The team is 8-8 SU at home this season.
The Maple Leafs have converted on 20.8 percent of their power play opportunities this season, a mark that’s right around league average. On the other hand, their penalty kill is ranked 26th overall, and they’ve successfully killed off 76.9 percent of all penalties.
With a .919 save percentage and 28.4 saves per game, Frederik Andersen (18-11-3) has been the top option in goal for the Leafs this year. Andersen did just play last night, however, so head coach Sheldon Keefe might decide to give him a rest and turn to Michael Hutchinson instead (0-7-7 record, .876 save percentage, 4.55 goals against average).
On the other hand, Detroit is 9-27 straight up (SU) and has lost 11.9 units for moneyline bettors thus far. 18 of its outings have gone over the total, while 13 have gone under the total and just five have pushed. The Red Wings are 4-13 SU as the away team this season.
The Red Wings have converted on just 16.5 percent of their power play chances this season, a figure that places them in the bottom-10 overall among NHL teams. On the other hand, its penalty kill unit is ranked 31st overall and it’s successfully defended 73.4 percent of all penalties.
Jonathan Bernier (.896 save percentage and 3.26 goals against average) has been the primary option in goal for Detroit. Bernier is averaging 26.4 saves per game and owns a 7-15-2 record.
Detroit Red Wings vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Predictions
Free Pick: SU Winner – Maple Leafs, O/U – Over
Betting Trends
- Nine of Detroit’s last ten games have been decided by two goals or more. The team is 1-8 in those games.
- The Red Wings are 5-8 when they serve fewer penalty minutes than their opponent and 7-18 in games where they’re in the penalty box for fewer than 10 total minutes.
- The total has gone over in three of Detroit’s last five games.
- Detroit skaters have averaged 6.6 giveaways over its last five home games, an improvement from its season average of 12.3 giveaways per game (ranked 28th in the league).
- Toronto has averaged 12.2 giveaways over its last five home games, a rise over its season average of 11.3 giveaways per game (ranked 24th in the league).
