The league’s top scoring defense will be a 7-point favorite at home in Amway Center, when the Orlando Magic (23-31) go head-to-head against the Detroit Pistons (19-37). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 206 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Detroit at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 12, 2020.
Detroit Pistons at Orlando Magic ATS Odds
In the Magic’s previous outing, they covered the 8.5-point spread against the Atlanta Hawks, 135-126. The Pistons, meanwhile, were topped by the Charlotte Hornets, 87-76, and failed to cover as 3.5-point underdogs. The Orlando game went 38 points over the projected point total of 223, while the Detroit game finished 43.5 points under the projected point total of 206.5.
The Magic, who came into the game averaging an offensive rebounding percentage of 21.9, had a fantastic mark of 34.1 and had a turnover percentage of 8.7 (better than their season average of 11.0). Detroit, on the other hand, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 37.3 (above their season average of 22.7). Nikola Vucevic played well for Orlando, finishing with 24 points, nine rebounds and nine assists. Bruce Brown, meanwhile was a key piece for Detroit with 10 points, 12 rebounds and five assists.
In their first matchup this year, Luke Kennard led the Pistons to a 103-88 victory. He scored a game-high 20 points. Detroit covered as a 5-point favorite and the two teams combined to put up 191 points, which was well under the projected point total of 208.5. Detroit was effective at getting and making free throws. The Pistons made 21 of their 25 free throws (84.0 percent), while the Magic were 16-22 (72.7 percent).
Of the Pistons’ 56 games, 33 have finished over the total. Detroit holds records of 19-37 straight up (SU) and 20-34-2 against the spread (ATS).
Unlike Detroit, games involving the Magic have typically gone under the projected point total (55.6 percent). Further, Orlando is 23-31 SU and 23-27-4 ATS.
The Pistons’ Christian Wood has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 19 points,8.0 rebounds,1.2 steals per game. Meanwhile, Aaron Gordon has averaged 17 points,8.0 rebounds,4.0 assists,1.6 steals during that same time frame for the Magic.
Half-court execution will be of utmost importance when a pair of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams face off. Orlando ranks 29th in possessions per game (99.4) and Detroit is 25th (100.6).
Detroit Pistons vs. Orlando Magic ATS Pick
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Magic, ATS Winner – Pistons, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Magic rank fourth in fast break points allowed per game (11.7) while the Pistons rank ninth (12.5).
- Orlando averages 5.8 blocks per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. Detroit ranks 27th in blocks allowed per game (5.7).
- The Magic rank first in second chance points allowed per game (11.4) while the Pistons rank 19th (13.5).
- Orlando ranks fifth in steals allowed per game (6.9) while Detroit ranks 18th (7.9).
- Detroit ranks second in three pointers allowed per game (29.8) while Orlando ranks eighth (32.7).
- The Pistons rank sixth in points in the paint per game (49.4) while the Magic rank 26th (44.6).
- The Magic rank 18th in rebounds per game (44.5) while the Pistons rank 29th (42.3).
- Orlando ranks first in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.0) while Detroit ranks 21st (17.4).
- When allowing less than 100 points, Orlando is 12-4 and Detroit is 4-3.
- When reaching 100 points, the Pistons are 18-25 and the Magic are 19-12.
- Orlando is 10-15-2 ATS at home, while Detroit is 9-15-2 ATS on the road.
- In 26 road games, the Pistons have 13 overs and 13 unders.
- The Magic have 18 unders and 9 overs in 27 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Detroit and Orlando are both 2-3 ATS.
- The Pistons have 4 unders and 1 over over their last five games, while the Magic have 3 overs, 1 under and 1 push
- During their last five games, the Pistons have scored an average of 93.4 points per game (14.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 98.8 points per game (11.7 below their season average).
- The Magic’s average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 2.6, up from 1.6 for the season.
