Detroit Pistons vs. Los Angeles Lakers ATS Prediction 01/09/19

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The Detroit Pistons (17-21) will travel to the Staples Center to clash against the Los Angeles Lakers (22-19). The Lakers opened as 1.5-point favorites. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 218 points and it will air on ESPN at 10:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 9, 2019.

Detroit Pistons vs. Los Angeles Lakers Betting Odds

In the Lakers’ last matchup, they topped the Dallas Mavericks, 107-97, as 7.5-point underdogs. The Pistons, on the other hand, were defeated by the San Antonio Spurs, 119-107, and failed to cover as 2.5-point underdogs. The Los Angeles game went 18 points under the projected point total of 222, while the Detroit game went 11.5 points over the projected point total of 214.5.

The Lakers forced 18 turnovers and held the Mavericks to an effective field goal percentage of 0.465 (below their season average of 0.522). Detroit, meanwhile, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (23.7 vs. 24.3). Josh Hart played a pivotal role for Los Angeles with 14 points, 12 rebounds and six assists. Meanwhile, Blake Griffin played well for Detroit, recording 34 points and eight assists.

This was a highly competitive series last year. Each won one of the two games played against each other last season. In the last matchup, the Pistons won 112-106. The Pistons’ turnover percentage was their biggest strength over the Lakers. Detroit had a rate of 6.2, while Los Angeles posted a mark of 9.4. This is the first time these teams will meet this year.

Pistons games have no tendency in regards to the O/U total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Detroit comes into the contest with records of 17-21 straight up (SU) and 17-20-1 against the spread (ATS).

Of the Lakers’ 41 games, 25 have finished under the projected point total. Moreover, Los Angeles owns records of 22-19 SU and 17-23-1 ATS.

Brandon Ingram has really been playing well recently for Los Angeles, averaging 18 points,7.8 rebounds,3.6 assists over the last five games.

From an effective field goal percentage perspective, Los Angeles should have a considerable advantage. The Lakers defense ranks third in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.503), while the Detroit offense is ranked 29th in effective field goal percentage (0.496). Also, the Pistons rank fifth in offensive rebounding percentage (25.3 percent), while the Lakers rank 21st in defensive rebounding percentage (76.4 percent).

Pistons at Lakers Odds Pick

Free Pick: SU Winner – Pistons, ATS Winner – Pistons, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Lakers rank 14th in assists per game (24.5) while the Pistons rank 25th (22.1).
  • Los Angeles ranks second in fast break points per game (20.2) while Detroit ranks 27th (10.1).
  • The Pistons rank ninth in rebounds per game (46.4) while the Lakers rank 26th in rebounds allowed per game (47.1).
  • Detroit ranks second in second chance points allowed per game (10.9) while Los Angeles ranks 15th (13.3).
  • Detroit ranks third in three pointers allowed per game (28.0) while Los Angeles ranks 14th (30.8).
  • The Lakers rank fifth in blocks per game (5.7) while the Pistons rank 29th (3.9).
  • The Lakers rank 13th in steals per game (8.1) while the Pistons rank 25th (6.8).
  • Los Angeles ranks 14th in points off turnovers per game (17.0) while Detroit ranks 16th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.2).
  • Los Angeles ranks second in points in the paint per game (55.3) while Detroit ranks 25th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.3).
  • Los Angeles is 7-0 when they allow below 100 points, while Detroit is 4-2.
  • When reaching the century mark, the Pistons are 17-13 and the Lakers are 21-16.
  • Detroit is 9-8 ATS on the road, while Los Angeles is 8-12-1 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone over in 8 of the Pistons’ 17 road games, while 14 of the Lakers’ 21 home games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Lakers are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Pistons are 1-4.
  • In their last five games, Los Angeles has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Detroit has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Lakers have been outscored by an average of 3.8 points in their last five games. For the season, Los Angeles has defeated opponents by an average of 1.1 points.
  • During their last five games, the Pistons have scored an average of 103.6 points per game (3.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 110.6 points per game (0.9 above their season average).