The Denver Nuggets (13-3), the league’s top scoring defense and 4-point favorites, will meet the Sacramento Kings (7-10) at Golden 1 Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 205.5 points and it will air on Altitude Sports & Entertainmnt at 5 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 30, 2019.
Denver Nuggets vs. Sacramento Kings Betting Odds
Both teams covered in their last game. The Nuggets (10-point favorites) defeated the Washington Wizards, 117-104, while the Kings (9.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Philadelphia 76ers, 97-91. The Denver game finished 6 points under the projected point total of 227, while the Sacramento game went 22.5 points under the projected point total of 210.5.
Denver played a nearly flawless game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 24.4 (below their season average of 24.5) and a free throw rate of 0.189 (above their season average of 0.167). For those same stats, Washington put up marks of 9.4 and 0.147, respectively. Sacramento, on the other hand, had a much better turnover percentage (10.0 vs. 16.1). Harrison Barnes had a solid performance for Sacramento, contributing 14 points, nine rebounds and six assists. Meanwhile, Will Barton fueled Denver with 17 points, eight rebounds and eight assists.
In their first matchup this season, Nikola Jokic led the Nuggets to a 101-94 win. He produced nine points and 13 rebounds. The two teams combined to put up 195 points, which was well under the projected point total of 217, and Denver covered as a 5-point favorite. Making free throws was one of Denver’s biggest strengths. They were 19-21 (90.5 percent), while the Kings were just 10-16 (62.5 percent).
Of the Nuggets’ 16 games, 12 have finished under the total. Denver is 13-3 straight up (SU), but they have difficulty covering the spread (7-7-2 against the spread (ATS)).
Similarly to Denver, Kings games also have typically finished under the total (70.6 percent). Moreover, Sacramento owns records of 7-10 SU and 11-6 ATS.
The inefficient offense of Sacramento will go head-to-head against the top-notch defense of Denver. The Kings rank 23rd in offensive efficiency, while the Nuggets are third in defensive efficiency. The Nuggets figure to have the edge on that end of the court.
Denver Nuggets vs. Sacramento Kings ATS Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Kings, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Nuggets average 26.1 assists per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. The Kings rank 11th in assists allowed per game (23.3).
- Denver ranks fourth in rebounds per game (47.6) while Sacramento ranks 29th (41.3).
- The Kings rank 12th in three pointers attempted per game (34.9) while the Nuggets rank 28th (29.4).
- Denver ranks 11th in steals per game (7.8) while Sacramento ranks 23rd in steals allowed per game (8.5).
- Denver ranks third in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.3) while Sacramento ranks ninth (16.5).
- The Nuggets rank eighth in points in the paint per game (48.9) while the Kings rank 27th (40.2).
- The Nuggets rank third in second chance points allowed per game (10.5) while the Kings rank 14th (13.1).
- Sacramento ranks first in fast break points allowed per game (10.8) while Denver ranks 18th (13.5).
- Denver is 8-0 when they allow less than 100 points, while Sacramento is 3-2.
- In games where they reach 100 points, the Kings are 7-4 and the Nuggets are 11-3.
- Sacramento is 4-3 ATS at home, while Denver is 3-2-1 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone under in 4 of the Nuggets’ 6 road games, while 4 of the Kings’ 7 home games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Denver and Sacramento are both 4-1 ATS.
- The Nuggets have 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games, while the Kings have 4 unders and 1 over
- The Nuggets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 11.2, up from 5.4 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 104.6 points per game (0.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 107.6 points per game (0.6 below their season average).