The Denver Nuggets (24-11) will travel to State Farm Arena to go head-to-head with the Atlanta Hawks (8-28). Action begins at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday, January 6, 2020, and can be seen on Altitude 2 Sports.
Denver Nuggets at Atlanta Hawks ATS Odds
In the Hawks’ last game, they were victorious over the Indiana Pacers, 116-111, despite being 7-point underdogs. The Nuggets, on the other hand, were beat by the Washington Wizards, 128-114, and failed to cover as 13-point underdogs. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Atlanta game went 6.5 points over the projected point total of 220.5, while the Denver game went 21 points over the projected point total of 221.
Atlanta’s effective field goal percentage was their largest strength over Indiana. The Hawks had a rate of 0.573 (above their season average of 0.504), while the Pacers posted a mark of 0.471 (below their season average of 0.526). Denver, meanwhile, did a terrific job of getting and making free throws (28-34; 82.4 percent). Trae Young played a key role for Atlanta with 41 points and eight assists. Denver, meanwhile, rallied around Jamal Murray, who put up 39 points.
In their first matchup this year, Young led the Hawks to a 125-121 win. He recorded a double-double with 42 points and 11 assists. The two teams combined to score 246 points, which was well over the projected point total of 209, and Atlanta covered as a 10-point underdog. Atlanta had a better free throw rate (0.265 vs. 0.173). Denver, meanwhile, had a much better turnover percentage (2.6 vs. 12.5).
Nuggets games have typically finished under the total (57.1 percent). Denver has a solid 24-11 straight up (SU) record, but they struggle covering the spread (12-18-5 against the spread (ATS)).
Contrary to Denver, a little over half of Hawks games have finished over the projected point total. Moreover, Atlanta owns records of 8-28 SU and 16-20 ATS.
It will be a battle of opposite styles as the fast-paced Hawks will look to push the more grind-it-out Nuggets. The Hawks rank second in possessions per game while the Nuggets are 27th. Furthermore, the Nuggets, who rank first in offensive rebounding percentage (25.1 percent), will attempt to take advantage of the Hawks, who rank 30th in defensive rebounding percentage (74.3 percent).
Nuggets at Hawks Pick
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Nuggets, ATS Winner – Nuggets, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Nuggets rank fourth in assists per game (26.3) while the Hawks rank 20th (23.2).
- Denver ranks third in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.6) while Atlanta ranks last (20.1).
- The Nuggets rank seventh in second chance points allowed per game (12.3) while the Hawks rank 26th (14.6).
- Denver ranks seventh in rebounds allowed per game (43.8) while Atlanta ranks 25th (46.9).
- Atlanta ranks ninth in three pointers attempted per game (34.9) while Denver ranks 26th (30.0).
- The Nuggets average 49.7 points in the paint per game, which ranks sixth in the league. The Hawks rank last in points allowed in the paint per game (53.4).
- The Nuggets rank 10th in blocks allowed per game (4.7) while the Hawks rank 27th (6.7).
- Denver ranks ninth in steals allowed per game (7.2) while Atlanta ranks 29th (9.1).
- Atlanta is 3-0 when they allow less than 100 points, while Denver is 10-1.
- In games where they score over 100 points, the Hawks are 8-22 and the Nuggets are 22-7.
- Atlanta is 9-7 ATS at home, while Denver is 6-8-2 ATS on the road.
- In 16 road games, the Nuggets have 8 overs and 8 unders.
- The Hawks have 10 unders and 6 overs in 16 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- The Hawks are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Nuggets are 1-3-1.
- In their last five games, Atlanta has 4 unders and 1 over, while Denver has 5 overs.
- The Hawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 10.2, up from 9.8 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Nuggets have scored an average of 116.2 points per game (7.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 119.8 points per game (14.9 above their season average).
