The Denver Nuggets (24-10) will travel to Capital One Arena to square off with the Washington Wizards (10-24). Action gets underway at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 4, 2020, and can be seen on Altitude Sports & Entertainmnt.
Denver Nuggets at Washington Wizards ATS Odds
The last time the Nuggets played, they were victorious over the Indiana Pacers, 124-116, covering as 1-point favorites. The Wizards, meanwhile, were blown out by the Portland Trail Blazers, 122-103, and were unable to cover as 3.5-point underdogs. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Denver game finished 32 points over the projected point total of 208, while the Washington game finished 7.5 points over the projected point total of 217.5.
The Nuggets, who came into the game averaging an offensive rebounding percentage of 24.9, had an extraordinary mark of 37.5 and had a free throw rate of 0.276 (above their season average of 0.170). Washington, meanwhile, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 31.8 (above their season average of 22.2). Washington’s Jordan McRae had a good outing, finishing with 35 points and five rebounds. Meanwhile, Will Barton played a key role for Denver with 14 points, 10 rebounds and five assists.
In their first matchup this year, Barton led the Nuggets to a 117-104 victory. He produced 17 points, eight rebounds and eight assists. The two teams combined to put up 221 points, which was under the projected point total of 227, and Denver covered as a 10-point favorite. Denver out-rebounded Washington. The Nuggets had 10 offensive rebounds and 58 total rebounds, while the Wizards had five and 36, respectively.
Games including the Nuggets have typically finished under the total (58.8 percent). Denver is 24-10 straight up (SU), but they have a difficult time covering the spread (12-17-5 against the spread (ATS)).
Unlike Denver, Wizards games have typically finished over the O/U total (60.6 percent). Additionally, Washington owns records of 10-24 SU and 17-16 ATS.
This contest should be a matchup of opposite styles. Washington has preferred a fast-breaking style of play (seventh in possessions per game), while Denver has been slower-paced (27th in possessions per game). Also, the Nuggets, who rank first in offensive rebounding percentage (25.2 percent), will try to take advantage of the Wizards, who rank 28th in defensive rebounding percentage (74.9 percent).
Denver Nuggets at Washington Wizards ATS Pick
NBA Tip: SU Winner – Wizards, ATS Winner – Wizards, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Wizards rank fifth in steals allowed per game (7.0) while the Nuggets rank seventh (7.2).
- Denver ranks fifth in second chance points allowed per game (11.9) while Washington ranks 28th (14.8).
- The Wizards rank 13th in three pointers attempted per game (34.1) while the Nuggets rank 25th (30.1).
- Denver ranks 17th in rebounds per game (45.1) while Washington ranks 29th (42.0).
- Denver ranks third in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.5) while Washington ranks eighth (15.9).
- The Nuggets average 49.6 points in the paint per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. The Wizards rank 28th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.4).
- The Nuggets rank 22nd in blocks per game (4.5) while the Wizards rank 27th (4.0).
- Denver averages 26.5 assists per game, which ranks fourth in the league. Washington ranks 26th in assists allowed per game (26.1).
- Washington is 2-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Denver is 10-1.
- In games where they reach 100 points, the Nuggets are 22-6 and the Wizards are 9-24.
- Denver is 6-7-2 ATS on the road, while Washington is 6-8 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 8 of the Wizards’ 14 home games, while 8 of the Nuggets’ 15 road games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Denver and Washington have both had 4 overs and 1 under.
- The Wizards are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Nuggets are 1-3-1.
- The Wizards’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 11.8, up from 5.3 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Nuggets have scored an average of 113.4 points per game (4.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 116.6 points per game (12.3 above their season average).
