Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies Betting Prediction 01/28/20

Posts AdminArticles, Basketball, NBA

The Memphis Grizzlies (22-24) will be at home in FedExForum when they square off with the Denver Nuggets (32-14). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 224.5 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 28, 2020.

Denver Nuggets vs. Memphis Grizzlies Betting Odds

Both teams covered as favorites in their last game. The Grizzlies (2-point favorites) defeated the Phoenix Suns 114-109, while the Nuggets (2-point favorites) beat the Houston Rockets 117-110. The Memphis game finished 6.5 points under the projected point total of 229.5, while the Denver game finished 1.5 points over the projected point total of 225.5.

The Nuggets forced 16 turnovers and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.532 (above their season average of 0.518). Meanwhile, Memphis’ effective field goal percentage was their biggest strength over Phoenix. The Grizzlies had a rate of 0.571 (above their season average of 0.535), while the Suns posted a mark of 0.440 (below their season average of 0.525). Ja Morant had a good game for Memphis, finishing with 23 points, eight assists and five rebounds. Denver, meanwhile, received a boost from Nikola Jokic, who collected 24 points, 12 rebounds and 11 assists. This gave him his eighth triple-double this year.

In their two contests this year, the Nuggets have won both. In their most recent game, the two teams combined to put up 229 points, which was over the projected point total of 219. Denver won 119-110, covering as a 9-point favorite. Denver had a much better turnover percentage (8.7 vs. 15.2). Memphis, meanwhile, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (25.0 vs. 22.7). Jokic played a huge role in the victory, recording a a triple-double with 31 points, 10 rebounds and 10 assists.

Games involving the Nuggets have a tendency to go under the total (58.7 percent). Denver has a solid 32-14 straight up (SU) record, but they are just 19-21-6 against the spread (ATS).

There does not appear to be a trend for Grizzlies games in regards to the projected point total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Further, Memphis is 22-24 SU and 24-21-1 ATS.

Contrasting styles will be on display in this showdown. Memphis prefers a fast-paced style of play (eighth in possessions per game), while Denver is methodical (27th in possessions per game).

Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies ATS Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Grizzlies, ATS Winner – Grizzlies, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Grizzlies average 5.5 blocks per game, which ranks ninth in the NBA. The Nuggets rank 12th in blocks allowed per game (4.8).
  • Denver ranks third in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.4) while Memphis ranks 26th (19.0).
  • The Nuggets average 26.2 assists per game, which ranks third in the league. The Grizzlies rank 22nd in assists allowed per game (24.9).
  • Memphis ranks first in points in the paint per game (55.5) while Denver ranks 19th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.9).
  • Memphis ranks 19th in three pointers attempted per game (32.3) while Denver ranks 25th (30.0).
  • The Nuggets rank fourth in second chance points per game (14.5) while the Grizzlies rank 27th in second chance points allowed per game (14.4).
  • The Nuggets rank ninth in steals per game (8.2) while the Grizzlies rank 17th in steals allowed per game (7.9).
  • Memphis ranks fourth in fast break points per game (17.6) while Denver ranks 23rd (11.7).
  • When allowing below 100 points, Denver is 11-1 and Memphis is 1-0.
  • The Grizzlies are 22-18 when they reach 100 points, while the Nuggets are 30-10.
  • Denver is 10-9-3 ATS on the road, while Memphis is 14-12 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone under in 12 of the Nuggets’ 22 road games, while 14 of the Grizzlies’ 26 home games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Nuggets are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Grizzlies are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Denver has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Memphis has 4 unders and 1 over.
  • The Nuggets have been outscored by an average of 0.6 points in their last five games. On the season, Denver has defeated opponents by an average of 3.5 points.
  • During their last five games, the Grizzlies have scored an average of 112.6 points per game (0.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 115.0 points per game (0.8 below their season average).