The NBA’s top scoring defense will be a 3-point favorite on the road at Barclays Center, when the Denver Nuggets (14-6) face off with the Brooklyn Nets (12-10). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 209 points and it can be seen on YES Network at 3 p.m. ET on Sunday, December 8, 2019.
Denver Nuggets vs. Brooklyn Nets ATS Odds
The Nets will look to keep it rolling after covering the 3-point spread against the Charlotte Hornets in their last contest, 111-104. The Nuggets, meanwhile, were defeated by the Boston Celtics, 108-95, and were unable to cover as 3.5-point underdogs. The Brooklyn game went 4.5 points under the projected point total of 219.5, while the Denver game went 2.5 points under the projected point total of 205.5.
Brooklyn dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had an absurd offensive rebounding percentage of 38.5 (above their season average of 23.5) and a turnover percentage of 14.5 (worse than their season average of 13.1). For those same stats, Charlotte had marks of 22.7 and 17.4, respectively. Denver, meanwhile, held Boston to an offensive rebounding percentage of 12.1 (below their season average of 23.5). DeAndre Jordan played a pivotal role for Brooklyn with 16 points and 13 rebounds. Nikola Jokic had a solid performance for Denver, putting up 30 points and 10 rebounds.
In their first matchup this year, Jokic led the Nuggets to a 101-93 win. He recorded a double-double with 18 points and 10 rebounds. Denver covered as an 8-point favorite and the two teams combined for 194 points, which was well under the projected point total of 222.5. Denver out-rebounded Brooklyn. The Nuggets had 14 offensive rebounds and 62 total rebounds, while the Nets had seven and 51, respectively.
Of the Nuggets’ 20 games, 15 have finished under the total. Denver has a superb 14-6 straight up (SU) record, but they are just 8-10-2 against the spread (ATS).
Of the Nets’ 22 games, 10 have finished over the O/U total. Moreover, Brooklyn is 12-10 SU and 12-9-1 ATS.
Brooklyn might struggle to find the bottom of the net as they clash against one of the league’s best defenses. Denver ranks third in defensive efficiency while the Nets rank 17th in offensive efficiency.
Nuggets at Nets Odds Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Nuggets, ATS Winner – Nuggets, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Nuggets average 7.8 steals per game, which ranks 14th in the NBA. The Nets rank 19th in steals allowed per game (8.1).
- Denver ranks third in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.2) while Brooklyn ranks 21st (18.4).
- The Nets rank sixth in three pointers attempted per game (37.6) while the Nuggets rank 16th in three pointers allowed per game (33.3).
- Brooklyn ranks fifth in fast break points allowed per game (12.1) while Denver ranks 14th (13.3).
- Denver averages 46.7 rebounds per game, which ranks seventh in the league. Brooklyn ranks 15th in rebounds allowed per game (45.6).
- The Nuggets rank third in second chance points allowed per game (11.2) while the Nets rank 21st (14.0).
- The Nets rank fifth in points in the paint per game (50.9) while the Nuggets rank 13th (48.3).
- Brooklyn ranks 11th in blocks per game (5.2) while Denver ranks 14th in blocks allowed per game (4.8).
- Brooklyn ranks third in assists allowed per game (21.8) while Denver ranks 14th (23.8).
- In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Denver is 9-0 and Brooklyn is 2-0.
- In games where they reach 100 points, the Nuggets are 12-3 and the Nets are 12-8.
- Denver is 4-4-1 ATS on the road, while Brooklyn is 6-4 ATS at home.
- The total has gone under in 5 of the Nets’ 10 home games, while 6 of the Nuggets’ 9 road games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- The Nets are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Nuggets are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Brooklyn has 3 overs, 1 under and 1 push, while Denver has 4 unders and 1 over.
- During their last five games, the Nets have scored an average of 113.8 points per game (0.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 111.8 points per game (1.6 below their season average).
- The Nuggets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.0, up from 5.0 for the season.
