The Dallas Mavericks (27-36), 5-point underdogs, will travel to Capital One Arena to go head-to-head against the Washington Wizards (26-37). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 231.5 points and it gets underway at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, March 6, 2019.
Dallas Mavericks vs. Washington Wizards ATS Odds
The Wizards were victorious over the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last outing, 135-121, despite being 1-point underdogs. The Mavericks, on the other hand, were blown out by the Brooklyn Nets, 127-88, and were unable to cover as 5.5-point underdogs. The Washington game finished 14.5 points over the projected point total of 241.5, while the Dallas game went 11.5 points under the projected point total of 226.5.
Washington dominated every facet of the game. They had a solid free throw rate of 0.265 (above their season average of 0.201) and a turnover percentage of 6.7 (better than their season average of 12.2). Minnesota put up marks of 0.131 and 10.1, respectively, for those same stats. Dallas, on the other hand, held Brooklyn to an offensive rebounding percentage of 8.8 (below their season average of 23.8). Washington was lifted by Bobby Portis, who put up 26 points and 12 rebounds. Dwight Powell, meanwhile had a good game for Dallas, finishing with 20 points, six rebounds and six assists.
In their first matchup this year, Harrison Barnes led the Mavericks to a 119-100 victory. He notched a double-double with 19 points and 13 rebounds. The two teams combined for 219 points, which was under the projected point total of 228, and Dallas covered as a 2-point underdog. Dallas out-rebounded Washington. The Mavericks had 10 offensive rebounds and 50 total rebounds, while the Wizards had five and 32, respectively.
Mavericks games have typically finished under the total (55.6 percent). Dallas heads into the contest with records of 27-36 straight up (SU) and 36-27 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Dallas, games including the Wizards have typically gone over the total (63.5 percent). Moreover, Washington owns records of 26-37 SU and 26-35-2 ATS.
The Mavericks’ Powell has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 16 points,7.0 rebounds,3.2 assists,1.2 steals per game. Meanwhile, Bradley Beal has averaged 34 points,6.8 assists,1.4 steals during that same time frame for the Wizards.
This contest should be a battle of opposite paces. Washington has preferred to play up-tempo (sixth in possessions per game), while Dallas has been more half-court-oriented (20th in possessions per game). Ball security could be troublesome for the Mavericks. They rank 24th at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 14.2 percent), while the Wizards force the fourth-most turnovers in the NBA (opponents’ turnover percentage of 15.1 percent).
Dallas Mavericks at Washington Wizards Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Wizards, ATS Winner – Wizards, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Wizards average 14.5 fast break points per game, which ranks 13th in the league. The Mavericks rank 28th in fast break points allowed per game (16.7).
- Washington ranks fourth in points off turnovers per game (19.0) while Dallas ranks 26th (15.0).
- The Mavericks rank ninth in second chance points allowed per game (12.6) while the Wizards rank 27th (14.4).
- Dallas averages 35.9 three pointers per game, which ranks third in the NBA. Washington ranks 20th in three pointers allowed per game (32.7).
- Dallas ranks 11th in rebounds allowed per game (44.4) while Washington ranks 27th (47.5).
- The Wizards rank fifth in assists per game (26.6) while the Mavericks rank 25th (22.6).
- The Mavericks rank 11th in points allowed in the paint per game (47.7) while the Wizards rank 27th (51.6).
- Washington ranks fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.4) while Dallas ranks seventh (4.6).
- Washington averages 8.7 steals per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. Dallas ranks 24th in steals allowed per game (8.3).
- Washington is 8-0 when they allow under 100 points, while Dallas is 10-3.
- In games where they reach 100 points, the Mavericks are 26-28 and the Wizards are 25-31.
- Dallas is 15-16 ATS on the road, while Washington is 17-11-1 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 20 of the Wizards’ 29 home games, while 16 of the Mavericks’ 31 road games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- The Wizards are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Mavericks are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Washington has 4 overs and 1 under, while Dallas has 3 unders and 2 overs.
- During their last five games, the Wizards have scored an average of 115.6 points per game (1.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 117.2 points per game (0.3 above their season average).
- The Mavericks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 17.0, up from 1.5 for the season.
