It will be a showdown between two phenomenal offenses when the Washington Wizards (17-32) take on the Dallas Mavericks (31-20) at Capital One Arena. Action gets underway at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, February 7, 2020.
Dallas Mavericks vs. Washington Wizards ATS Odds
In their last matchup, the Mavericks (3.5-point favorites) were defeated by the Memphis Grizzlies, 121-107, while the Wizards (6.5-point favorites) fell to the Golden State Warriors, 125-117. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Dallas game finished 1.5 points over the projected point total of 226.5, while the Washington game went 7.5 points over the projected point total of 234.5.
Dallas did a fantastic job of making free throws (22-24; 91.7 percent) while Washington had a better turnover percentage (10.3 vs. 12.2). Bradley Beal played a key role for Washington with 43 points and six assists. Dallas received a boost from Kristaps Porzingis, who contributed 32 points and 12 rebounds.
In their first matchup this season, Luka Doncic led the Mavericks to a 108-100 victory. He was the game’s top overall scorer with 34 points. Dallas was unable to cover as a 9-point favorite and the two teams combined for 208 points, which was under the projected point total of 220.5. Dallas made good use of their 33 trips to the free throw line, making 27 of them (81.8 percent). Washington, on the other hand, was 15-18 (83.3 percent).
Vegas tends to set the total low when the Mavericks are involved, as 60.8 percent of their games have gone over the total. Dallas holds records of 31-20 straight up (SU) and 30-21 against the spread (ATS).
Wizards games also have a tendency to finish over the total (59.2 percent). Moreover, Washington is 17-32 SU and 25-24 ATS.
This contest should be a showdown of conflicting paces. Washington has preferred to play quickly (seventh in possessions per game), while Dallas has been more methodical (20th in possessions per game). Also, the top-ranked offense of the Mavericks (offensive efficiency of 114.7) will battle against the 30th-ranked defense of the Wizards (defensive efficiency of 114.7).
Mavericks at Wizards Odds Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Wizards, ATS Winner – Wizards, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Wizards rank 16th in steals per game (7.5) while the Mavericks rank 28th (6.1).
- Dallas averages 14.8 second chance points per game, which ranks first in the league. Washington ranks 29th in second chance points allowed per game (14.7).
- The Mavericks rank 10th in assists allowed per game (23.6) while the Wizards rank 28th (25.9).
- Washington ranks 13th in fast break points allowed per game (12.7) while Dallas ranks last (16.4).
- Dallas ranks second in three pointers attempted per game (41.2) while Washington ranks 17th (32.5).
- The Mavericks rank fourth in rebounds per game (47.4) while the Wizards rank last (42.4).
- The Mavericks rank second in blocks allowed per game (3.9) while the Wizards rank 18th (5.2).
- Washington ranks 19th in points in the paint per game (47.3) while Dallas ranks 26th (44.5).
- Washington ranks seventh in points off turnovers per game (17.8) while Dallas ranks 26th (14.9).
- Dallas is 8-0 when they allow below 100 points, while Washington is 3-0.
- The Wizards are 15-31 when they score more than 100 points, while the Mavericks are 31-18.
- Washington is 12-11 ATS at home, while Dallas is 19-5 ATS on the road.
- Of the Mavericks’ 24 road games, they have 15 overs and 9 unders.
- The Wizards have 12 overs, 10 unders and 1 push in 23 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Dallas and Washington have both had 4 overs and 1 under.
- The Mavericks are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Wizards are 2-3.
- During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 113.4 points per game (2.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 117.0 points per game (6.8 above their season average).
- The Wizards’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.4, up from 5.1 for the season.
