An eight-game home winning streak hangs in the balance for the Utah Jazz (31-13), who will be 3-point favorites when they welcome the Dallas Mavericks (28-16) to Vivint Smart Home Arena. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 226 points and it is scheduled to start at 5 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 25, 2020.
Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz Betting Odds
Both teams covered as favorites in their last matchup. The Jazz (9-point favorites) defeated the Golden State Warriors 129-96, while the Mavericks (7-point favorites) beat the Portland Trail Blazers 133-125. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Utah game went 4.5 points over the projected point total of 220.5, while the Dallas game finished 25.5 points over the projected point total of 232.5.
Dallas played a nearly perfect game. They had an extraordinarily low turnover percentage of 7.2 (better than their season average of 10.9) and a free throw rate of 0.161 (matching their season average). For those same stats, Portland had marks of 10.9 and 0.132, respectively. The Jazz, meanwhile, had an absurd offensive rebounding percentage of 36.6 (above their season average of 20.8) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.629 (above their season average of 0.549). Rudy Gobert was a key piece for Utah with 22 points and 15 rebounds. Luka Doncic, meanwhile had a solid performance for Dallas, finishing with 27 points, nine assists and six rebounds.
The Jazz edged out the Mavericks in this series last year, taking three out of four games. In the last contest, Utah won 125-109. Utah was successful at getting and making free throws. The Jazz made 29 of their 33 free throws (87.9 percent), while the Mavericks were 14-18 (77.8 percent). This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
Mavericks games tend to finish over the O/U total (61.4 percent). Dallas comes into the game with records of 28-16 straight up (SU) and 26-18 against the spread (ATS).
Of the Jazz’s 44 games, 23 have finished over the total. Additionally, Utah is 31-13 SU and 23-19-2 ATS.
The Mavericks’ Tim Hardaway Jr. has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 17 points per game. Meanwhile, Gobert has averaged 22 points,15.0 rebounds,2.2 blocks during that same time frame for the Jazz.
Half-court execution will be at a premium when a pair of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams battle. Utah currently ranks 28th in possessions per game (100.4) and Dallas is 21st (101.3). Furthermore, the sharp-shooting offense of the Mavericks ranks fifth in effective field goal percentage (0.547), while the Jazz are third-best in the NBA at effective field goal percentage allowed (0.502).
Mavericks vs. Jazz ATS Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Jazz, ATS Winner – Jazz, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Mavericks rank fifth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.0) while the Jazz rank 12th (16.8).
- Dallas ranks first in second chance points per game (15.0) while Utah ranks 28th (11.6).
- The Mavericks rank first in blocks allowed per game (3.8) while the Jazz rank 13th (5.0).
- Utah ranks fourth in rebounds allowed per game (43.0) while Dallas ranks 14th (45.3).
- Utah averages 48.2 points in the paint per game, which ranks 13th in the league. Dallas ranks 20th in points allowed in the paint per game (49.1).
- The Jazz rank 13th in fast break points allowed per game (12.6) while the Mavericks rank last (16.5).
- The Mavericks rank 15th in assists per game (24.3) while the Jazz rank 25th (22.2).
- Dallas ranks 28th in steals per game (6.3) while Utah ranks 29th (6.0).
- Dallas ranks second in three pointers attempted per game (41.2) while Utah ranks 15th (33.1).
- When holding opponents under 100 points, Utah is 12-1 and Dallas is 7-0.
- The Jazz are 30-8 when they score more than 100 points, while the Mavericks are 28-14.
- Utah is 11-8-1 ATS at home, while Dallas is 16-4 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone over in 13 of the Mavericks’ 20 road games, while 11 of the Jazz’s 20 home games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Dallas and Utah are both 4-1 ATS.
- The Mavericks have 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games, while the Jazz have 4 overs and 1 under
- During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 122.2 points per game (5.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 113.4 points per game (3.7 above their season average).
- The Jazz’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 18.0, up from 5.3 for the season.
