The San Diego Padres will look to avoid their fourth straight loss when they play host to the Colorado Rockies at PETCO Park. The game gets going at 10:10 p.m. ET and the matchup will be shown on ATRM and FSSD.
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres Odds
Vegas has listed Colorado (+145) as the underdog to San Diego (-155). The total stands at nine runs and bettors can take the over for +100 or the under for -120. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at Rockies +1.5 runs (-150) and Padres -1.5 runs (+130).
The Padres are 64-75 straight up (SU) and 66-73 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 14.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 14.5 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Rockies, on the other hand, are 59-82 SU and have gone 61-80 against the spread. In total, the club has lost 18.9 units for moneyline gamblers and 27.4 units ATS. Colorado hasn’t covered the spread in any of its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
San Diego games have an over/under record of 67-64-8 in 2019. The Rockies have been a decent over bet with a total record of 69-63-9.
Tim Melville is getting the nod for Colorado. The right-handed Melville is 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA and 11 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Padres this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Padres will put the ball in the right hand of Dinelson Lamet (2-3, 4.24 ERA, 1.27 WHIP), who has 70 strikeouts and 22 walks. Lamet is 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA in one start against Colorado this year.
San Diego’s pitchers have given up 4.9 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 4.58 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.63 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 9.9 K/9. In 61 divisional games, Padres starters have an ERA of 5.28 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.11.
San Diego’s hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .257/.323/.417 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
First baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado have led the Padres’ offense this year. Hosmer is hitting .284/.330/.453 with 20 home runs, 90 RBIs and 67 runs scored, while Machado is batting .264 with 28 homers, 76 RBIs and 74 runs scored.
For the visiting squad, Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 6.0 runs per game and its starters own a 6.03 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 7.57 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.24, along with a K-per-9 of 8.32.
The Rockies offense has slashed .267/.329/.456 on its way to 5.2 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (0-5 SU).
Third baseman Nolan Arenado and right fielder Charlie Blackmon continue to lead Colorado’s offense. Arenado is slashing .312/.370/.583 with 37 home runs, 108 RBIs and 94 runs scored, while Blackmon (.319/.364/.582) is up to 27 homers, 75 RBIs and 101 runs scored.
The Rockies have lost 11.2 units and are 35-54 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 47 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 5.8 units and are 51-58 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 55 of those games, compared to 47 which went under the total.
Rockies vs. Padres MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in three of Colorado’s last seven games.
- The Rockies have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
- The Rockies have a team OPS of .785 this season and an OPS of .776 against right-handed pitchers. The Padres’ OPS stands at .733 overall and .712 versus righties.
- San Diego has posted 18.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.2 over its last five.
- The Rockies have dropped 13 of their last 14 games SU.
