Colorado Rockies at St. Louis Cardinals Free Pick

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The Colorado Rockies will be taking on the St. Louis Cardinals in a Sunday matinee. This NL matchup starts at 2:15 p.m. ET and you can catch the game on ATRM and FSMW.

Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinals Odds

Colorado (+135) is the underdog to St. Louis (-145) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at 10 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at -160 for the Rockies +1.5 runs and +140 for the Cardinals -1.5.

The Rockies have gone 58-72 SU this year and are 60-69 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 8.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 15.7 units ATS. Colorado has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Cardinals, on the other hand, are 70-58 SU and 66-61 ATS. The team’s lost 0.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 2.6 units ATS. St. Louis has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.

St. Louis games have had an over/under record of 50-67-10 in 2019. Colorado has been a decent over bet with a total record of 63-57-9.

The right-handed Antonio Senzatela is getting the nod for the visiting Rockies. Senzatela (8-7, 6.29 ERA) has racked up 53 strikeouts in 93 innings so far. This will be his first outing against St. Louis this year. He did make two starts against the team in 2018, compiling a 0-1 record with a 6.97 ERA and nine strikeouts.

The Cardinals will turn to righty Michael Wacha (6-6, 5.22 ERA), who has 80 strikeouts and 45 walks, along with a 1.61 WHIP. Wacha did not record a start against the Rockies in 2018.

St. Louis’ pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have a 4.11 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.71 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.

The St. Louis hitters have put up 4.5 runs per contest, including 5.5 per game over its last 10 games and 6.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .279/.403/.442 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Paul Goldschmidt and shortstop Paul DeJong have paced the Cardinals’ hitters this year. Goldschmidt is slashing .260/.335/.472 with 29 home runs, 69 RBIs and 78 runs scored, and DeJong’s line sits at .246/.326/.456 with 23 homers, 61 RBIs and 81 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 5.8 runs per game and its starters own a 5.73 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.67 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.23, along with a K/9 of 8.40.

Rockies hitters have slashed .268/.330/.455 on their way to 5.3 runs scored per game this season, including 5.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Right fielder Charlie Blackmon and third baseman Nolan Arenado continue to lead Colorado’s offense. Blackmon is hitting .321/.367/.594 with 27 home runs, 72 RBIs and 96 runs scored. Arenado (.302/.362/.558) is up to 32 homers, 99 RBIs and 83 runs scored.

The Rockies have lost 5.2 units and are 34-47 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 42 of those games, compared to 35 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Cardinals have netted 2.4 units and are 55-46 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 38 of those games, compared to 57 that’ve cashed the under.

Rockies vs. Cardinals Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in four of Colorado’s last seven outings.
  • The Rockies have a team OPS of .785 this season and an OPS of .773 against right-handed pitchers. The Cardinals’ OPS sits at .727 overall and .724 against righties.
  • The Rockies have lost five of their last six games SU while the Cardinals have taken six of their last seven.
  • Colorado has posted 23.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 21.6 over its last five.
  • The Rockies have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cardinals have hit 14 over their last 10.