The San Diego Padres are going for their fourth straight win as they play host to the Colorado Rockies at PETCO Park. The matchup gets underway at 3:40 p.m. ET and you can watch it on either ATRM or FSSD.
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres Odds
The Rockies have gone 52-65 SU this year and are 53-63 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 8.8 units for moneyline bettors and 15.9 units ATS. Colorado has covered the spread only once over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Padres, on the other hand, are 55-61 SU and 53-62 ATS. They’ve lost 11.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 13.9 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Padres games have an over/under record of 54-54-7 in 2019. The Rockies have an over/under record of 57-52-7.
German Marquez will get the nod for the Rockies. The right-handed Marquez (10-5, 4.82 ERA) has racked up 154 strikeouts in 155 innings so far. He’s 2-0 with 15 strikeouts and a 7.15 ERA against San Diego this year (two starts).
The Padres are putting the ball in the right hand of Dinelson Lamet (1-2, 3.90 ERA), who has 42 punchouts and 13 walks this season as well as a 1.27 WHIP. Lamet has yet to face the Rockies this year and did not accrue any MLB pitching stats in 2018.
San Diego’s pitching staff has given up 4.8 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have a 4.45 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.62 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 10.0 K/9. In 50 games against divisional foes, Padres starters have an ERA of 5.26 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.98.
San Diego’s offense has produced 4.5 runs per outing, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 7.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .278/.344/.544 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Padres’ batters have been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado. Hosmer is slashing .279/.327/.441 with 17 home runs, 78 RBIs and 58 runs scored, while Machado is batting .267 with 26 homers, 70 RBIs and 67 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 5.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.82 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 7.85 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.21, along with a WHIP of 1.50 and a K/9 of 8.47.
Rockies hitters have slashed .267/.327/.455 on their way to 5.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (0-5 SU).
Colorado’s offense has been sparked by outfielder Charlie Blackmon and third baseman Nolan Arenado, who’ve collectively blasted 50 home runs. Blackmon is slashing .322/.368/.597 with 24 home runs, 65 RBIs and 85 runs scored, while Arenado (.308/.369/.547) is up to 26 homers, 87 RBIs and 75 runs scored.
The Rockies have lost 4.9 units and are 29-41 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 37 of those games, compared to 30 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 2.3 units and are 41-50 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 46 of those games, compared to 39 which went under the total.
Rockies vs. Padres Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in three of San Diego’s last seven games.
- The Rockies have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 17 over their last 10.
- The Rockies have an OPS of .782 this season and an OPS of .771 against right-handed pitchers. The Padres’ OPS stands at .748 overall and .730 against righties.
- San Diego has posted 25.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 25.8 over its last five.
- The Rockies have dropped six of their last seven games SU.
