The Purdue Boilermakers (-4) aren’t traveling far to battle their in-conference counterpart Indiana Hoosiers at Memorial Stadium. Kickoff for this matchup is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET and ESPN2 will televise the action.
Betting Preview: Purdue Boilermakers vs. Indiana Hoosiers
Indiana is the underdog in this Big 10 game and is currently getting 4 points. The Boilermakers are also receiving -185 moneyline odds while the Hoosiers are +165. There will probably be multiple good live betting opportunities in the game, and Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 62. With the spread currently standing at Indiana +4, oddsmakers are thinking this has the feel of a 29-33 victory for the Boilermakers.
The disappointing Boilermakers are down 9.6 units so far and 5-5-1 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U mark of 6-5.
The Hoosiers are up 0.6 units this season. The team is 5-6 ATS and owns an O/U record of 7-4.
The Boilermakers are 5-6 straight up (SU), including 4-4 SU against conference opponents. The Hoosiers are 5-6 SU overall and 2-6 SU in conference play.
The Boilermakers dropped one to Wisconsin 47-44 in a matchup where their defense allowed the Badgers to rush for 385 yards on 51 attempts, including four rush TDs. On the offense, David Blough completed 31-of-48 passes for 386 yards and four touchdowns. D.J. Knox (39 rushing yards on 11 attempts) and Markell Jones (29 yards on 10 carries, one TD) provided the running attack while Rondale Moore (nine receptions, 114 yards, two TDs) and Isaac Zico (six catches, 72 yards, one TD) manned the receiving duties in the defeat.
Indiana just lost a 31-20 game to Michigan. Peyton Ramsey completed 16-of-35 passes for 195 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Stevie Scott (139 rushing yards on 30 attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Ramsey (51 yards on seven carries) spearheaded the running attack while Luke Timian (six receptions, 62 yards) and Nick Westbrook (four catches, 84 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.
Purdue has run the ball on 43.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Indiana has a rush percentage of 48.1 percent. The Boilermakers have produced 142.2 rush yards per game (including 138.1 per game against Big Ten opponents) and have 17 scores on the ground this year. The Hoosiers are averaging 158.7 rushing yards per game (130.1 in conference) and have 15 total rush TDs.
It seems like the Boilermakers ought to hold an advantage when it comes to efficiency in the ground game. Their backfield has logged 4.6 yards per carry while their defense is allowing a YPC of 4.4 to opponents. The Hoosiers have registered 4.4 yards per carry and given up 4.6 yards per rush attempt to opponents.
The Boilermakers offensive scheme has logged 318.5 yards/contest in the air overall (312.6 per game versus conference opposition) and has 25 passing scores so far. The Hoosiers have produced 249.9 pass yards per game (268 against Big 10 foes) and have 19 total pass TDs.
Defensively, Purdue has allowed opponents to run for an average of 166.6 yards and throw for 274.9 yards per game. The Indiana defense has given up 234.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 188.0 yards per game to opposing runners. The Boilermakers are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.36 to opponents, while the Hoosiers have given up a 6.87 ANY/A.
Offensively, Blough has already amassed 3,069 passing yards on the year, and has connected on 66 percent of his 359 attempts with 21 scores through the air and seven interceptions. He has an 8.16 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.95 over the last two games.
Rondale Moore, D.J. Knox and Terry Wright have collectively accounted for 449 yards from scrimmage and four touchdowns as a trio over the last couple of outings.
In the other locker room, Peyton Ramsey has managed to complete 243-of-368 passes for 2,287 yards, 16 TDs and 11 INTs. Ramsey’s ANY/A sits at 5.10 for the season and 5.36 over his past two outings.
Stevie Scott, Nick Westbrook and Luke Timian have combined to account for 481 yards from scrimmage and three touchdowns as a trio over the last two games.
These two teams faced off last year with the final result being a 31-24 win for Purdue.
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Indiana Hoosiers Betting Pick
SU Winner: Indiana, ATS Winner: Indiana, O/U: Over
Team Betting Trends
- The Indiana offense has lost eight fumbles this season while Purdue has lost six.
- The Purdue D has sacked opposing quarterbacks 23 times this season. Indiana has produced just 16 sacks.
- As a team, Purdue has rushed for 2.9 yards per attempt over its last three contests and 2.7 over its last two.
- Indiana has averaged 4.7 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.6 over its past two.
- Over its last three matches, Indiana is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for Purdue’s last game was set at 56.5. The over cashed in the team’s 47-44 loss to Wisconsin.
- In its last three contests, Purdue is 0-2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for Indiana’s previous match going into it was 53. The under cashed in the 31-20 loss to Michigan.
- Purdue has lost four of its last five games SU, with a two-point win over Iowa on November 3rd accounting for the only victory over that stretch.
