College Football Free Pick – Pittsburgh Panthers at Duke Blue Devils

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The Pittsburgh Panthers and Duke Blue Devils will face off on the grass at Brooks Field at Wallace Wade Stadium. This important conference game will get going at 8:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to ACC Network. These schools faced off a year ago with the final outcome being a 54-45 win for Pittsburgh.

Betting Preview: Duke Blue Devils vs. Pittsburgh Panthers

In this Saturday Atlantic Coast game, Duke is getting picked as the favorite and is currently giving up 5 points. If they want to take the moneyline, gamblers would currently need to spend $200 in order to win $100 back on the Blue Devils (-200). The Panthers are getting +170 moneyline odds. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 49 points, and if one side gets out in front early, it would likely generate a worthwhile betting scenario in-game.

Sharp bettors have been siding with the Panthers. The line originally opened at -7 and the game’s O/U was placed initially at 48.5.

Both of these teams have rewarded gamblers this year as the Panthers have gained 2.0 units and the Blue Devils are up 2.2 units.

The Panthers are 3-2 straight up (SU), including 0-1 SU against ACC opponents. The Blue Devils are 3-1 SU overall and 1-0 SU in conference play.

The Panthers made it two in a row after a 17-14 victory over Delaware last week. Nick Patti completed 23 passes for 271 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Todd Sibley Jr. (106 rushing yards on 22 attempts) led the running attack while Maurice Ffrench (nine receptions, 57 yards) and Taysir Mack (five catches, 124 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the win.

Duke is coming off of a 45-10 win over Virginia Tech. The Blue Devils defensive unit let the Hokies run for 139 yards on 43 rush attempts. Deshawn McClease had a good showing in the loss for Virginia Tech, posting 102 rushing yards on 17 attempts. For Duke, Quentin Harris completed 20-of-27 passes for 163 yards and two touchdowns. Harris (100 rushing yards on 17 attempts, one TD) and Mataeo Durant (29 yards on 11 carries) mounted the running game as Noah Gray (six receptions, 50 yards, two TDs) and Deon Jackson (five catches, 45 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps in the win.

Pittsburgh has run the ball on 43.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Duke has an overall rush percentage of 57.5 percent. The Panthers have rushed for 126 yards/game and have four touchdowns on the ground this year. The Blue Devils are averaging 194.3 rushing yards per game and have six total rush TDs.

The Panthers offense has logged 278.4 yards per contest through the air overall and has seven passing TDs so far. The Blue Devils have recorded 221.5 pass yards per contest and have 11 total pass scores.

Defensively, Pittsburgh has allowed 91.8 rush yards and 209 pass yards per game. The Duke D has given up 199.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 140.0 yards per game to opposing runners. The Panthers are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.91 to opposing QBs, while the Blue Devils have allowed a 7.1 ANY/A.

Harris has completed 62-of-91 passes for 605 yards, six TDs and two INTs for Duke. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 6.82 for the year and 9.63 across his last two outings. In the other locker room, Patti has put up 271 passing yards on the year. He’s completed 23-of-37 attempts with two passing touchdowns and one interception. Patti’s got a 7.19 ANY/A, including 7.55 over the last two outings.

Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Duke Blue Devils Free NCAA Betting Tip

SU Winner: Duke, ATS Winner: Duke, O/U: Under

Betting Trends

  • As a team, Pittsburgh has averaged 3.9 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.8 over its last two.
  • Duke has averaged 5.1 yards per carry over its last three games and 5.3 over its last two.
  • Both teams have lost two fumbles this season.
  • The O/U for Duke’s last matchup was set at 51.5. The over cashed in the 45-10 victory over Virginia Tech.
  • Over its last three matches, Duke is 3-0 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
  • The Panthers offense has recorded five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Blue Devils have accounted for zero such plays.
  • The Pittsburgh defense has allowed six pass plays of 40+ yards, while Duke has given up one such play.
  • The Pittsburgh offense has created two rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Duke has created seven such runs.
  • The Panthers defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Blue Devils have given up nine such runs.
  • The Pittsburgh defensive unit has 24 sacks on the year while Duke has just 10.