Two schools that like to run the football, Coach Smith Jonathan and the Oregon State Beavers are getting 2.5 points when they take on their conference rival No. 24 Arizona State Sun Devils to Reser Stadium. The opening kickoff for this matchup is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET and spectators can view the action live on FS1.
Betting Preview: Oregon State Beavers vs. Arizona State Sun Devils
In this Saturday Pac-12 game, Arizona State is projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 2.5 points. The Sun Devils are also receiving -140 moneyline odds while the Beavers are +120. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 57.5 points. There could be some solid live betting possibilities during the game.
This game’s line opened at 1.5. The total has not moved after it was set initially at 57.5.
Each of these teams has posted a positive return this year as the Sun Devils have recorded 1.6 units while the Beavers are ahead 2.5 units.
The Sun Devils have gone 5-4 straight up (SU), including 2-4 SU against conference opponents. The Beavers are 4-5 SU overall and 3-3 SU in conference play.
The Sun Devils fell to USC 31-26 in a game where their secondary allowed the Trojans to air it out for 477 yards and four touchdowns. On the offensive side of the ball, Joey Yellen completed 28-of-44 passes for 292 yards, four scores and two interceptions. Eno Benjamin (52 yards on 20 rush attempts) led the running attack. Kyle Williams (eight receptions, 60 yards, one TD) and Benjamin (seven catches, 48 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.
Oregon State just suffered a 19-7 loss to Washington. Jake Luton completed 19-of-28 passes for 88 yards and one interception. Jermar Jefferson (39 yards on nine rush attempts) handled the running game as Pierce (five receptions, 8 yards) and Champ Flemings (four catches, 16 yards) led the receiving corps in the loss.
Arizona State has run the ball on 53 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Oregon State has a rush percentage of 50.1 percent. The Sun Devils have rushed for 120 yards/game (including 123.7 per game against Pac-12 opponents) and have 10 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Beavers are averaging 160.7 rush yards per game (126.3 in conference) and have 17 total rushing TDs.
If 2019 results can translate to this game, then it seems like the Beavers could hold an advantage when it comes to applying pressure. Their offensive line has yielded just 20 sacks while their D-line has registered 25 sacks. The Sun Devils offensive line has given up 21 sacks and their defense has got to opposing QBs on just 16 occasions.
The Sun Devils offensive scheme has averaged 243.8 yards through the air overall (244.3 per game against conference opposition) and has 15 passing TDs so far. The Beavers have put up 235.8 pass yards per contest (230 in the Pac-12) and have 21 total pass scores.
Arizona State has let opponents run for an average of 109.8 yards and pass for 269 yards per game. The Oregon State defense has allowed 244.4 yards per game to opposing passers and 192.7 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Sun Devils have given up an ANY/A of 7.09 to opposing QBs, while the Beavers are yielding an ANY/A of 7.16.
Luton has completed 154-of-257 passes for 1,690 yards, 16 TDs and two INTs for Oregon State. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 6.53 for the season and 6.23 over his past two games. In the other huddle, Yellen is up to 292 passing yards this year, and has connected on 28-of-44 attempts with four passing touchdowns and two interceptions. Yellen’s got a 6.16 ANY/A.
When these two teams met last year, Arizona State knocked off Oregon State by four touchdowns 52-24.
Arizona State Sun Devils at Oregon State Beavers Betting Pick
SU Winner: Oregon State, ATS Winner: Oregon State, O/U: Under
Team Betting Notes
- The Oregon State defense has produced 25 sacks on the year while Arizona State has just 16.
- The Oregon State offense has lost zero fumbles in 2019 while the Arizona State offense has lost six.
- The Sun Devils offense has produced 11 pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Beavers have put up six such plays.
- Both teams have allowed five pass plays of 40 or more yards. The Arizona State defense has given up nine pass plays of 30+ yards while Oregon State has given up 14 such plays.
- The Arizona State offense has created seven rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Oregon State has created 13 such runs.
- The Sun Devils defense has allowed five rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Beavers have given up 12 such runs.
- The O/U for Oregon State’s last match was set at 64. The under cashed in the team’s 19-7 defeat to Washington.
- In its last three contests, Oregon State is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- Over its last three contests, Arizona State is 0-2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for Arizona State’s last game was set at 54. The over cashed in the team’s 31-26 loss to USC.
- Arizona State has averaged 3.3 yards per carry over its past three contests and 3.3 over its last two.
- Oregon State has averaged 3.6 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.3 over its past two.
