The No. 24 Arizona State Sun Devils (-4) are flying west to visit the UCLA Bruins at Rose Bowl. Pac-12 Networks will televise the action and this Pac-12 game is scheduled to start at 7:30 p.m. ET.
Betting Preview: UCLA Bruins vs. Arizona State Sun Devils
UCLA is getting picked as the underdog and is currently getting 4 points in this Saturday Pac-12 matchup. The Sun Devils are also receiving -185 moneyline odds while the Bruins are +165. Oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 55.5 points. If the underdog gets ahead in the early stages, it’ll likely create a nice in-game betting opportunity.
Square bettors have been siding with the Sun Devils, as the line opened at 2.5. The game’s total has yet to move after being initially set at 55.5.
Both of these teams have rewarded gamblers this year as the Sun Devils have recorded 4.4 units and the Bruins are ahead 2.6 units.
The Sun Devils have gone 5-2 straight up (SU), including 2-2 SU against Pac-12 opponents. The Bruins are 2-5 SU overall and are also 2-2 SU in conference play.
When these two teams met last year, Arizona State won by a field goal 31-28.
The Sun Devils dropped one to Utah 21-3 in a blowout where the passing game could’ve been sharper as Jayden Daniels completed just four-of-18 passes for 25 yards and one interception. Brandon Aiyuk (one receptions, seven yards) and Frank Darby (one catch, 12 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.
UCLA is coming off of a 34-16 win over Stanford. Dorian Thompson-Robinson completed 21-of-34 passes for 192 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Joshua Kelley (176 yards on 18 rush attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Thompson-Robinson (66 yards on 13 carries, one TD) led the running game as Kyle Philips (10 receptions, 100 yards, two TDs) and Devin Asiasi (four catches, 41 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.
Arizona State has run the ball on 56.5 percent of its offensive possessions this year while UCLA has a rush percentage of 53.3 percent. The Sun Devils have produced 131 rush yards per game (including 144.8 per game versus Pac-12 opponents) and have nine touchdowns on the ground this year. The Bruins are putting up 160 rush yards per game (221.5 in conference) and have nine total rushing TDs.
The Sun Devils offensive scheme has tallied 233.6 yards per contest through the air overall (226.8 per game versus conference opposition) and has eight passing TDs so far. The Bruins have put up 245.6 pass yards per game (291 in the Pac-12) and have 14 total pass scores.
Arizona State seems to have an edge in both areas of the defense. The team’s allowed opponents to rush for an average of 100.4 yards and throw for 252.6 yards per game. The UCLA D has allowed 312.4 yards per game to opposing passers and 147.3 yards per game to opposing runners. The Sun Devils are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.39 to opposing QBs, while the Bruins have given up a staggering 9.2 ANY/A.
Daniels has been more productive than Burton lately, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 6.96for the year (and 6.13 over the last two outings). Burton’s ANY/A is 5.47 for the year and 5.50 over his past two games.
Arizona State Sun Devils at UCLA Bruins NCAA Prediction
SU Winner: Arizona State, ATS Winner: Arizona State, O/U: Over
Betting Notes
- The UCLA defense has sacked opposing QBs 16 times this year. Arizona State has recorded 12 sacks.
- Both offenses have lost four fumbles this season.
- The Sun Devils offense has recorded nine pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Bruins have accounted for three such plays.
- The Arizona State defense has allowed three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while UCLA has given up seven such plays.
- The Arizona State offense has created five rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while UCLA has created eight such runs.
- The Sun Devils defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Bruins have given up seven such runs.
- The O/U for UCLA’s last match going into it was 48.5. The over cashed in that 34-16 victory over Stanford.
- In its last three matches, UCLA is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- In its last three games, Arizona State is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Arizona State’s last game going into it was 47. The under cashed in the team’s 21-3 loss to Utah.
- As a team, Arizona State has produced 4.2 yards per carry over its past three games and 4.3 over its last two.
- UCLA has averaged 5.5 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.7 over its past two.
