The Texas A&M Aggies (+17) are heading east to battle their in-conference nemesis No. 1 LSU Tigers at Tiger Stadium. The matchup kicks off at 7:00 p.m. ET and you can watch the action live on ESPN.
Betting Preview: Texas A&M Aggies at LSU Tigers
Texas A&M is a live dog in this one and is currently getting 17 points. In order to take the home favorite, moneyline gamblers would currently need to put up $1,400 to win $100 back on the Tigers (-1400). The Aggies are getting +780 moneyline odds. There could be multiple decent in-game betting possibilities in this showdown, and Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 61 points.
The opening line was -17. The game’s O/U hasn’t moved after it was initially set at 61.
The Aggies are down 1.9 units so far in 2019 and 6-4-1 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 5-6.
The surprising Tigers are up 5.8 units this season. The team is 6-4-1 ATS and eight of its games have gone over the total.
The unblemished Aggies are 7-4 straight up (SU), including 4-3 SU against conference opponents. The Tigers are 11-0 SU overall and 7-0 SU in conference play.
The Aggies are trying to get back in stride after a 19-13 loss to Georgia last week where Kellen Mond completed 25 passes for 275 yards and one touchdown. As a team, the Aggies rushed for just -1 yards in the loss.
LSU enters this one having just earned a 56-20 win over Arkansas. The defense allowed the Razorbacks to rush for 114 yards on 43 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Treylon Burks was a bright spot in the loss for Arkansas, accounting for 80 yards on three catches. For LSU, Joe Burrow completed 23-of-28 passes for 327 yards and three touchdowns. Clyde Edwards-Helaire (188 yards on six rush attempts, three TDs) led the running game while Edwards-Helaire (seven receptions, 65 yards) and Ja’Marr Chase (six catches, 144 yards, two TDs) led the pass-catching corps in the win.
In terms of offensive play-calling, each team sports a similar (48-52) run-pass ratio on the season. The Aggies have run for 159 yards/game (including 137.1 per game against Southeastern opponents) and have 21 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Tigers are putting up 174.3 rush yards per game (189 in conference) and have 27 total rushing TDs.
If the results so far this season can translate to this game, then the Tigers ought to hold an edge in all aspects of the ground game, as their running backs has logged 5.1 yards per carry while their defense is allowing a YPC of 3.7 to opponents. The Aggies have registered 4.8 yards per carry while allowing 4.1 yards per rush attempt to opponents.
The Aggies offense has tallied 260.7 yards per contest through the air overall (250.3 per game versus conference opposition) and has 21 passing TDs so far. The Tigers have put up a ridiculous 386.8 pass yards per game (370 in the SEC) and have 41 total pass scores.
Defensively, Texas A&M should have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 129.2 rush yards and 192.3 pass yards per game. The LSU defense has allowed 232.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 129.3 yards per game on the ground. The Aggies are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 4.60 to opposing QBs, while the Tigers have allowed a 5.73 ANY/A.
Offensively, Mond is up to 2,489 passing yards this season, and has completed 215-of-337 attempts with 18 scores through the air and six interceptions. He has a 6.82 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.47 over the last two outings.
Joe Burrow has connected on 259-of-327 passes for 3,525 yards, 36 TDs and four INTs for LSU. His ANY/A sits at 11.33 for the year and 11.93 over his past two outings.
When these two teams faced each other a year ago, Texas A&M earned the win 74-72.
Texas A&M Aggies at LSU Tigers Betting Pick
SU Winner: LSU, ATS Winner: LSU, O/U: Over
Team Betting Notes
- Texas A&M has produced 5.5 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.8 over its last two.
- LSU has averaged 6.9 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 8.8 over its past two.
- The LSU offense has lost five fumbles this season while Texas A&M has let eight get away.
- The Aggies offense has produced three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Tigers have put up 15 such plays.
- The Texas A&M defense has allowed four pass plays of 40+ yards, while LSU has given up five such plays.
- Both teams have produced 19 rushing plays of 20 or more yards. The Texas A&M offense has recorded 53 running plays of 10+ yards while LSU has accounted for 59 such plays.
- The Aggies defense has allowed 10 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Tigers have given up 12 such runs.
- The LSU defense has notched 24 sacks on the year while Texas A&M has 21.
