A matchup featuring a pair of schools that are nationally ranked in the Top 10, the No. 2 LSU Tigers (-13) are gearing up to face their SEC nemesis No. 9 Auburn Tigers at Tiger Stadium. The crucial afternoon game starts at 3:30 p.m. ET and CBS is in line to televise the action.
Betting Preview: Auburn Tigers at LSU Tigers
Auburn approaches this Saturday SEC game as a hefty underdog and is currently getting 13 points. Auburn is receiving +360 moneyline odds while LSU is -525. There could be some good live betting scenarios during this contest, and Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 58.5 points.
Sharp bettors have been leaning toward LSU. The line initially opened at -11 and the total was originally set at 59.
Each of these teams has rewarded gamblers this season as Auburn has gained 4.3 units and LSU is up 3.0 units.
Auburn has gone 6-1 straight up (SU), including 3-1 SU against SEC opponents. The Tigers are 7-0 SU overall and 3-0 SU in conference play.
Auburn is coming off a resounding 51-10 win over Arkansas last week. Bo Nix completed 12 passes on 17 attempts for just 176 yards and three touchdowns. D.J. Williams (48 yards on 11 rush attempts) and Kam Martin (84 yards on 10 carries) led the ground attack while Anthony Schwartz (six receptions, 73 yards, one TD) and Williams (four catches, 90 yards, two TDs) handled the receiving duties in the win.
LSU enters this one after just getting a 36-13 win over Mississippi State. The defensive unit allowed the Bulldogs to rush for 102 yards on 37 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Stephen Guidry had a productive outing in the loss, recording 98 yards on six catches for Mississippi State. For LSU, Joe Burrow completed 25-of-32 passes for 327 yards and four touchdowns. Clyde Edwards-Helaire (53 rushing yards on 11 attempts) spearheaded the running game as Justin Jefferson (eight receptions, 89 yards, one TD) and Ja’Marr Chase (five catches, 48 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching attack in the win.
Auburn’s run the ball on 64.5 percent of its offensive possessions this year while LSU has a rush percentage of 48.5 percent. The Tigers has rushed for 239.6 yards/game (including 208 per game versus Southeastern opponents) and has 20 touchdowns on the ground this year. LSU is putting up 154.1 rushing yards per game (161.7 in conference) and has 15 total rush TDs.
The Auburn offense has logged 193.6 yards/contest through the air overall (201.3 per game versus conference opposition) and has 13 passing scores so far. LSU has recorded a superb 385.7 pass yards per outing (346 in the SEC) and has 29 total pass TDs.
Defensively, Auburn has allowed 94.3 rush yards and 224.7 pass yards per game. The LSU defense has allowed 226.1 yards per game to opposing passers and 93.3 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Tigers has given up an ANY/A of 5.39 to opposing QBs, while LSU is allowing an ANY/A of 5.25.
Burrow has been more effective than Nix recently. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 12.11 for the season and 12.51 over his past two games while Nix’s ANY/A is 8.20 (and 4.79 over the past two games).
When these two teams faced one another a year ago, LSU earned the win 22-21.
Auburn Tigers at LSU Tigers Free Prediction
SU Winner: LSU, ATS Winner: LSU, O/U: Under
Team Betting Trends
- The Auburn D has 20 sacks on the year while LSU has 17.
- The LSU offense has lost two fumbles this season while Auburn has let seven get away.
- The Auburn offense has registered five pass plays of 40 yards or more, while LSU has put up 10 such plays.
- The Auburn defense has allowed six pass plays of 40 yards or more, while LSU has given up two such plays.
- The Auburn offense has created 12 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while LSU has created nine such runs.
- The Auburn defense has allowed seven rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while LSU has given up two such runs.
- The O/U for LSU’s previous outing was 61. The under cashed in the 36-13 victory over Mississippi State.
- Over its last three matches, LSU is 2-0-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- In its last three matches, Auburn is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Auburn’s last game was 55.5. The over cashed in the team’s 51-10 win over Arkansas.
- Auburn, as a team, has averaged 4.9 yards per rush attempt across its past three outings and 5.0 over its last two.
- LSU has averaged 5.5 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 6.2 over its past two.
