The Boilermakers (+6.5) are ready to welcome their in-conference rival Indiana Hoosiers (-6.5) to Purdue. The daytime game is scheduled to kick off at 12:00 p.m. ET and ESPN2 will televise the action.
Betting Preview: Indiana Hoosiers vs. Purdue Boilermakers
In this Saturday Big Ten game, Indiana is getting picked as the favorite and is currently giving up 6.5 points. The Hoosiers are also receiving -270 moneyline odds while the Boilermakers are +210. Oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 54.5 points, and there will likely be some good live betting opportunities during the showdown.
The Hoosiers have gained 0.2 units this season and are 7-4 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 5-6.
The Boilermakers have lost 6.0 units for moneyline bettors this year. They’re 7-4 ATS and the over has hit in seven of their games.
The Hoosiers have gone 7-4 straight up (SU), including 4-4 SU against conference opponents. The Boilermakers are 4-7 SU overall and are also 3-5 SU in conference play.
The Hoosiers came up short to Michigan 39-14 in a thumping where their secondary allowed the Wolverines to air it out for 366 yards and five touchdowns. Nico Collins was unmatched for the Wolverines in that one with 165 yards and three touchdowns on six catches. On the offensive side of the ball, Peyton Ramsey completed 17 passes for 217 yards and one interception. Stevie Scott III (54 rushing yards on 13 attempts, one TD) led the running attack in the loss while Peyton Hendershot (six receptions, 62 yards) and Ty Fryfogle (four catches, 39 yards) manned the receiving duties.
Purdue just lost in a one-sided affair, 45-24 to Wisconsin. The defensive unit allowed the Badgers to rush for 403 yards on 55 attempts, including four rush TDs. Jonathan Taylor was a force to be reckoned with, recording 222 rushing yards and a score on 28 attempts for Wisconsin. For Purdue, Aidan O’Connell completed 26-of-43 passes for 289 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. King Doerue (26 rushing yards on nine attempts) spearheaded the ground attack in the defeat while David Bell (12 receptions, 108 yards, one TD) and Brycen Hopkins (eight catches, 127 yards, two TDs) led the pass-catching corps.
Indiana’s run the ball on 49.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Purdue has a rush percentage of 39.7 percent. The Hoosiers have produced 130.4 rush yards per game (including 124.3 per game against Big Ten opponents) and have 20 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Boilermakers are putting up 74.4 rush yards per game (83.5 in conference) and have seven total rushing TDs.
If 2019 results are any indication, then the Hoosiers ought to hold an edge along both the offensive and defensive fronts, as their offensive line has given up only 27 sacks while the D-line logged 21 sacks. The Boilermakers, on the other hand, have allowed 30 sacks and their defense has sacked opposing QBs on just 25 occasions.
The Hoosiers offensive scheme has logged 306.1 yards per game in the air overall (293.5 per game against conference opposition) and has 21 passing scores so far. The Boilermakers have recorded 301 pass yards per contest (275 in the Big 10) and have 26 total pass TDs.
Defensively, Indiana seems to have the upper hand in both facets. The team has allowed opponents to run for an average of 134.9 yards and pass for 193.8 yards per game. The Purdue defense has given up 235.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 193.2 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Hoosiers have given up an ANY/A of 6.38 to opposing QBs, while the Boilermakers are allowing an ANY/A of 6.68.
Offensively, Ramsey has amassed 1,519 passing yards this season, and has completed 70 percent of his 186 attempts with nine passing scores and four interceptions. Ramsey has a 7.26 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.12 over the last two outings.
Aidan O’Connell has completed 41-of-65 passes for 422 yards, three TDs and one INT for Purdue. His ANY/A sits at 6.30 for the season and 4.93 over his last two outings.
When these two squads faced one another last year, Purdue knocked off Indiana by a touchdown 28-21.
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Purdue Boilermakers Betting Prediction
SU Winner: Purdue, ATS Winner: Purdue, O/U: Over
Team Betting Notes
- The Indiana D has 24 sacks on the year while Purdue has just 18.
- The Purdue offense has lost seven fumbles this season while the Indiana offense has lost six.
- The Hoosiers offense has created 10 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Boilermakers have put up eight such plays.
- The Indiana defense has allowed nine pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Purdue has given up 11 such plays.
- The Indiana offense has created nine rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Purdue has created three such runs.
- The Hoosiers defense has allowed 10 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Boilermakers have given up 25 such runs.
- The Over/Under for Purdue’s last matchup was set at 48.5. The over cashed in the 45-24 defeat to Wisconsin.
- Over its last three matches, Purdue is 3-0 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
- In its last three games, Indiana is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for Indiana’s last game was set at 53.5. The under cashed in the team’s 39-14 defeat to Michigan.
- As a team, Indiana has produced 2.8 yards per carry across its past three contests and 2.8 over its last two.
- Purdue has averaged 3.5 yards per carry over its last three games and 3.0 over its last two.
