The Army West Point Black Knights (-6.5) are traveling south to visit the Georgia State Panthers at Parker H. Petit Field at Georgia State Stadium. ESPN+ is scheduled to televise the action and the matchup gets underway at 7:00 p.m. ET.
Betting Preview: Georgia State Panthers vs. Army West Point Black Knights
In this Saturday matchup, Army West Point is projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 6.5 points. The Black Knights are also receiving -270 moneyline odds while the Panthers are +210. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 56.5 points, and there should be some good live betting opportunities for this match.
Sharp bettors are apparently siding with the Black Knights. The line initially opened at 5 while the O/U was originally 57.
The Black Knights have lost 2.4 units so far and are 2-4 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 2-3-1.
The surprising Panthers are up 2.6 units this season. They’re 3-1-2 ATS and four of their games have gone over the total.
The Black Knights have gone 3-3 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Panthers are 4-2 SU.
Georgia State enters this one on a two-game losing streak while Army West Point has come out on top in its last two in a row. The Black Knights are most-recently on the rebound after a 17-8 defeat to Western Kentucky last week in which Kelvin Hopkins Jr. completed only five-of-12 passes for 71 yards and one touchdown. Sandon McCoy (41 yards on 11 rush attempts) led the ground attack while Camden Harrison (two receptions, 22 yards) and Artice Hobbs IV (one catch, 31 yards) manned the receiving duties in the defeat.
Georgia State just earned a 31-21 win over Coastal Carolina. The team’s defensive unit allowed the Chanticleers to rush for 105 yards on 27 attempts. Jaivon Heiligh had a good outing in the loss, posting 73 yards on six catches for Coastal Carolina. For Georgia State, Dan Ellington completed 16-of-24 passes for 122 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Tra Barnett (110 yards on 20 rush attempts, two TDs) and the signal-caller Ellington (128 yards on 19 carries) led the running game while Cornelius McCoy (four receptions, 12 yards, one TD) and Jonathan Ifedi (three catches, 47 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.
Army West Point’s run the ball on 84.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Georgia State has a rush percentage of 61.1 percent. The Black Knights have run for 250.7 yards/game and have 17 scores on the ground this year. The Panthers are putting up 253.5 rushing yards per game and have 14 total rush TDs.
The Black Knights offense has averaged 72.5 yards through the air overall and has four passing scores so far. The Panthers have recorded 225 pass yards per outing and have 13 total pass TDs.
Army West Point should possess an advantage in both areas of the defense. The team has allowed opponents to run for an average of 161.2 yards and pass for 179 yards per game. The Georgia State defense has allowed 255 yards per game to opposing passers and 199.8 yards per game to opposing runners. The Black Knights are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.11 to opposing QBs, while the Panthers have allowed an 8.11 ANY/A.
Offensively, Hopkins Jr. is up to 167 passing yards this season. The signal-caller has connected on 10-of-24 attempts with two passing scores and one interception. He has a 6.08 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.22 over the last two outings.
Dan Ellington has managed to complete 91-of-144 passes for 968 yards, 12 TDs and three INTs for Georgia State. His ANY/A sits at 6.44 for the season and 6.91 across his last two games.
Army West Point Black Knights at Georgia State Panthers Free Pick
SU Winner: Army West Point, ATS Winner: Army West Point, O/U: Under
Team Betting Notes
- The Army West Point defensive unit has 13 sacks on the year while Georgia State has 12.
- The Georgia State offense has lost four fumbles in 2019 while the Army West Point offense has lost seven.
- The Black Knights offense has recorded one pass play of 40 yards or more, while the Panthers have accounted for four such plays.
- The Army West Point defense has allowed two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Georgia State has given up six such plays.
- The Army West Point offense has created seven rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Georgia State has created 10 such runs.
- The Black Knights defense has allowed five rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Panthers have given up 13 such runs.
- Army West Point has produced 4.9 yards per carry across its last three games and 4.1 over its last two.
- Georgia State has averaged 5.4 yards per carry over its last three outings and 6.1 over its last two.
