A game that features two teams ranked in the Top 16 overall nationally, the No. 5 Alabama Crimson Tide (-3.5) are set to take on the Auburn Tigers at Jordan-Hare Stadium. CBS is scheduled to have the TV rights and this vital SEC matchup starts at 3:30 p.m. ET.
Betting Preview: Auburn Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
In this Saturday Southeastern matchup, Alabama is projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 3.5 points. The Crimson Tide are also receiving -175 moneyline odds while the Tigers are +155. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 50 points. If the favorites give up points in the early stages, it will probably create a decent betting opportunity in-game.
The Crimson Tide are 6-5 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 0.2 units so far. The team’s posted an O/U record of 6-5.
The Tigers have been a pleasant surprise for moneyline bettors this season, gaining 3.3 units. The team is 8-3 ATS and has an O/U record of 4-7.
The Crimson Tide are 10-1 straight up (SU), including 6-1 SU against SEC opponents. The Tigers are 8-3 SU overall and are also 4-3 SU in conference play.
When these two teams faced one another a year ago, Alabama won easily 52-21.
The Crimson Tide are trying to keep things going following a solid 66-3 win over Western Carolina last week. The D did its part in the win, keeping the Catamounts to just 112 passing yards and 67 yards on the ground. Owen Cosenke had a good day for the Catamounts in that one with 46 yards on four catches. On the offensive side, Mac Jones completed 10 passes on 12 attempts for 275 yards and three touchdowns. Najee Harris (66 rushing yards on 14 attempts, one TD) and Keilan Robinson (92 yards on eight carries, one TD) led the ground attack while Devonta Smith (four receptions, 94 yards, two TDs) and Jaylen Waddle (three catches, 101 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the win.
Auburn just earned a 52-0 win over Samford. The defensive unit held its territory in the victory, restricting the Bulldogs to only 63 passing yards and 51 rushing yards. Jay Stanton was a bright spot in the loss for Samford, recording eight yards on one catch. As a group, the Tigers collectively completed 22-of-32 passes for 251 yards and three touchdowns. Bo Nix went 15-for-23 for 150 yards and one touchdown while Cord Sandberg was five-of-seven for 84 yards and two touchdowns. Shaun Shivers (55 yards on nine rush attempts, one TD) spearheaded the running game as Williams (four receptions, 45 yards) and Anthony Schwartz (four catches, 25 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.
Alabama has run the ball on 51.8 percent of its offensive plays this year, including 48.2 percent across possessions in conference play. Auburn has a rush percentage of 59.1 percent, and has carried the ball 56.5 percent of the time when facing SEC opponents. The Crimson Tide have produced 168.9 rush yards/game (including 141.1 per game versus Southeastern opponents) and have 24 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Tigers are averaging 213.7 rushing yards per game (173.3 in conference) and have 28 total rush TDs.
The Tide offensive scheme has averaged a ridiculous 344.3 yards through the air overall (355.3 per game versus conference opposition) and has 42 passing TDs so far. The Tigers have put up 213.5 pass yards per outing (221 in the SEC) and have 18 total pass scores.
Alabama has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 130.9 yards and pass for 184.4 yards per game. The Auburn D has given up 196.9 yards per game to opposing passers and 109.6 yards per game to opposing runners. The Tide are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 3.86 to opponents, while the Tigers have allowed a 4.8 ANY/A.
Offensively, Jones has put up 747 passing yards this year, and has connected on 73 percent of his 66 attempts with seven passing scores and only one interception. Jones has a sparkling 12.42 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 18.65 over the last two games.
Bo Nix has completed 155-of-271 passes for 1,948 yards, 13 TDs and six INTs for Auburn. His ANY/A stands at 6.45 for the year and 5.69 over his past two outings.
Alabama Crimson Tide at Auburn Tigers Free Prediction
SU Winner: Alabama, ATS Winner: Alabama, O/U: Over
Team Betting Notes
- The Over/Under for Alabama’s last game was set at 61. The over cashed in the team’s 66-3 victory over Western Carolina.
- Alabama has produced 5.1 yards per carry over its past three games and 5.4 over its last two.
- Auburn has averaged 4.0 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.2 over its past two.
- Auburn has lost nine fumbles this season while Alabama has lost four.
- In its last three games, Alabama is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for Auburn’s last matchup was set at 64. The under cashed in the team’s 52-0 win over Samford.
- In its last three matches, Auburn is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
- The Crimson Tide offense has produced 16 pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Tigers have accounted for seven such plays.
- The Alabama defense has allowed one pass play of 40+ yards, while Auburn has given up eight such plays.
- The Alabama offense has created 14 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Auburn has created 15 such runs.
- The Crimson Tide defense has allowed 16 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Tigers have given up 11 such runs.
- The Alabama D has sacked opposing QBs 28 times this year. Auburn has recorded 26 sacks.
