A couple of schools that like to keep it on the ground, Head Coach Gus Malzahn and the No. 21 Auburn Tigers (-4.5) are taking on their conference foe Ole Miss Rebels at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium at Hollingsworth Field. This key afternoon game is scheduled to get underway at 12:00 p.m. ET and spectators can tune in to the action on ESPN.
Betting Preview: Auburn Tigers vs. Ole Miss Rebels
Ole Miss is projected to play the role of underdog and is currently getting 4.5 points in this Saturday SEC matchup. In order to take the favorite, moneyline gamblers would currently have to put down $200 to win $100 back on the Tigers (-200). The Rebels are getting +170 moneyline odds. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 63 points, and there should be some good in-game betting possibilities for this showdown.
Sharp bettors have been leaning toward both the Tigers and the under. The opening line was originally 2.5 while the total was placed initially at 64.
The hapless Tigers have lost 14.0 units this season and are 2-5 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U record of 2-5.
The Rebels have gained 1.0 unit for moneyline bettors this year. They’re 3-4 ATS and own an O/U record of 5-2.
The Tigers are 4-3 straight up (SU), including 1-3 SU against SEC opponents. The Rebels are 5-2 SU overall and are also 1-2 SU in conference play.
Auburn enters this one on a two-game unbeaten streak while Ole Miss has dropped its last two in a row. The Tigers lost to Tennessee 30-24 in a game where the passing attack left much to be desired as Jarrett Stidham completed 28 passes for 322 yards, two scores and two interceptions. JaTarvious Whitlow (42 yards on 12 rush attempts) led the ground attack in the loss. Ryan Davis (seven receptions, 57 yards) and Malik Miller (six catches, 57 yards) shared the receiving duties.
Ole Miss just earned a 37-33 win over Arkansas. The defense allowed the Razorbacks to run for 299 yards on 48 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. Rakeem Boyd was a bright spot in the loss, posting 109 rushing yards and a score on seven attempts for Arkansas. For Ole Miss, Jordan Ta’amu completed 26-of-35 passes for 387 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Scottie Phillips (86 yards on 18 rush attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Ta’amu (141 yards on 17 carries, one TD) led the ground game in the win while DaMarkus Lodge (10 receptions, 80 yards, one TD) and A.J. Brown (six catches, 64 yards) led the pass-catching corps.
Auburn’s run the ball on 55.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Ole Miss has an overall rush percentage of 50.7 percent. The Tigers have produced 158.4 rush yards/game (including 109.3 per game against Southeastern opponents) and have 14 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Rebels are logging 197.7 rushing yards per game (163.0 in conference) and have 18 total rush TDs.
The Tigers offense has logged 217.7 yards/game in the air overall (217.0 per game against conference opposition) and has seven passing TDs so far. The Rebels have recorded an astonishing 353.1 pass yards per game (233 in the SEC) and have 17 total pass scores.
Defensively, Auburn should have the upper hand in both phases. The team has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 125.9 yards and pass for 208.0 yards per game. The Ole Miss defense has given up 289.1 yards per game to opposing passers and 210.4 yards per game to opposing runners. The Tigers are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 4.60 to opposing QBs, while the Rebels have given up a 7.31 ANY/A.
Offensively, Stidham has put up 1,285 passing yards this year, and has completed 63 percent of his 175 attempts with seven passing scores and four interceptions. Stidham’s got a 6.16 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 4.97 over the last two outings.
On the other sideline, Jordan Ta’amu has completed 125-of-198 passes for 1,924 yards, 12 TDs and five INTs. Ta’amu’s ANY/A sits at 8.96 for the year and 13.25 over his past two games.
These two schools met a year ago with the final result being a 44-23 win for Auburn.
Auburn Tigers vs. Ole Miss Rebels Free Prediction
SU Winner: Ole Miss, ATS Winner: Ole Miss, O/U: Under
Team Betting Trends
- The O/U for Auburn’s previous game was set at 47.5. The over cashed in the team’s 30-24 loss to Tennessee.
- Auburn has averaged 3.4 yards per carry across its past three contests and 3.9 over its last two.
- Ole Miss has averaged 6.4 yards per carry over its last three outings and 7.0 over its past two.
- The Ole Miss offense has lost two fumbles this season while Auburn has let eight get away.
- Over its last three contests, Auburn is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Ole Miss’ previous game was set at 67.5. The over cashed in the 37-33 victory over Arkansas.
- Over its last three contests, Ole Miss is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
- The Tigers offense has registered six pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Rebels have accounted for 17 such plays.
- Both teams have allowed five pass plays of 40 or more yards. The Auburn defense has given up 13 pass plays of 30+ yards while Ole Miss has given up 15 such plays.
- The Auburn offense has created three rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Ole Miss has created 18 such runs.
- The Tigers defense has allowed eight rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Rebels have given up 10 such runs.
- The Auburn defense has 18 sacks on the year while Ole Miss has 16.
