In a matchup between two squads that are nationally ranked in the Top 17 overall, the No. 7 Washington Huskies (-3) are ready to take on the Oregon Ducks at Autzen Stadium. This key conference game starts at 3:30 p.m. ET and ABC is scheduled to televise the action. When these two squads faced each other last year, Washington won by five touchdowns 38-3.
Betting Preview: Washington Huskies at Oregon Ducks
Oregon is the underdog in this Pac-12 matchup and is currently receiving 3 points. The Huskies are also receiving -155 moneyline odds while the Ducks are +135. If one squad finds paydirt early on, it would likely produce a reasonable in-game betting scenario.
Odds have shifted, as the line opened at 4.
The Huskies have gained 2.0 units so far and are 2-4 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U record of 1-5.
The Ducks have gained 0.0 units this season. The team is 2-3 ATS and owns an O/U record of 3-2.
The Huskies have gone 5-1 straight up (SU), including 3-0 SU against conference opponents. The Ducks are 4-1 SU overall and 1-1 SU in conference play.
The Huskies are coming off a 31-24 victory over UCLA last week. Jake Browning completed 18-of-26 passes for 265 yards, along with a score and a pick. Myles Gaskin (116 rushing yards on 27 attempts, two TDs) and the signal-caller Browning (49 yards on 13 carries, one TD) led the running attack. Aaron Fuller (five receptions, 100 yards, one TD) and Gaskin (four catches, 14 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.
Oregon just earned a 42-24 win over California back in Week 5. The defense allowed the Golden Bears to rush for 241 yards on 41 attempts, including two rush TDs. Brandon McIlwain had a good outing in the defeat, recording 123 rushing yards and a score on 15 attempts for California. For Oregon, Justin Herbert completed 16-of-22 passes for 225 yards and two touchdowns. Travis Dye (115 yards on 20 rush attempts, one TD) and CJ Verdell (106 yards on nine carries) mounted the running game as Dillon Mitchell (seven receptions, 105 yards, one TD) and Verdell (three catches, 18 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.
Washington has run the ball on 57.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Oregon has a rush percentage of 61.1 percent. The Huskies have produced 170.7 rush yards/game (including 180.0 per game against Pac-12 opponents) and have 12 scores on the ground this year. The Ducks are averaging 216.0 rush yards per game (219.0 in conference) and have 14 total rushing TDs.
It appears that the Ducks may hold an advantage in terms of effectiveness in the ground game. Their running backs has logged 4.7 yards per carry while the defense has allowed a YPC of 3.0 to opponents. The Huskies have ran for 4.3 yards per carry while allowing 3.9 YPC to opponents.
The Huskies offensive scheme has averaged 272.0 yards through the air overall (207.3 per game against conference opposition) and has 10 passing TDs so far. The Ducks have recorded 287.6 pass yards per outing (286 in the Pac-12) and have 15 total pass scores.
Defensively, Washington seems to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has let opponents run for an average of 129.8 yards and pass for 174.7 yards per game. The Oregon D has allowed 238.2 yards per game to opposing passers and 108.6 yards per game to opposing runners. The Huskies are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.72 to opponents, while the Ducks have allowed a 5.58 ANY/A.
Offensively, Browning is up to 1,231 passing yards on the year, and has connected on 62 percent of his 141 attempts with eight scores through the air and five interceptions. Browning’s got a 7.37 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 9.39 over the last two games.
We’re looking for Huskies to maintain the clock by feeding their running backs early and often. Along with Aaron Fuller (467 yards, two TDs), Myles Gaskin (473 rush yards, four rush TDs) and Salvon Ahmed (172 rush yards) have brought significant production to the offensive scheme for Washington.
In the home locker room, Justin Herbert has completed 62-of-103 passes for 1,065 yards, 14 TDs and four INTs. Herbert’s ANY/A sits at 10.80 for the season and 9.46 across his past two outings.
The Ducks also like to leverage their backfield. In addition to Dillon Mitchell (203 receiving yards, two receiving TDs), CJ Verdell (305 rush yards, one rush TD) and Travis Dye (237 rush yards, two rush TDs) have gotten a multitude of touches lately.
Washington Huskies vs. Oregon Ducks Free Pick
SU Winner: Washington, ATS Winner: Washington
Betting Notes
- The Oregon offense has lost four fumbles this season while Washington has let two get away.
- The Oregon defense has tallied 15 sacks on the year while Washington has just eight.
- Washington has averaged 4.23664122137405 yards per carry over its past three games and 4.2 over its last two.
- Oregon has averaged 4.1 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.8 over its last two.
- In its last three matchups, Oregon is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- Washington was the underdog by 22 points in its previous game and the Over/Under was set at 53.5. The over cashed and Washington covered in the 31-24 win over UCLA.
- Over its last three matches, Washington is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- Oregon was getting 2 points in its last matchup and the Over/Under was set at 57.5. The over cashed and Oregon covered in the 42-24 win over California.
