College Football Betting Free Pick: Washington State Cougars vs. Oregon Ducks

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The Washington State Cougars (+14) are making a trip east to battle their Pac-12 rival No. 11 Oregon Ducks at Autzen Stadium. ESPN will televise the action and the game is scheduled to get going at 10:30 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: Oregon Ducks vs. Washington State Cougars

Washington State is a big road underdog in this Pac-12 game and is currently receiving 14 points. The Cougars are also receiving +500 moneyline odds while the Ducks are -735. Oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 64 points. There should be some good in-game betting possibilities in this matchup.

The opening line was -14 while the total hasn’t changed since it opened at 64.

The underwhelming Cougars are 2-5 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 15.7 units so far. The team has posted an O/U record of 3-4.

The Ducks have gained 1.0 unit this season. The team is 4-3 ATS and has an O/U record of 2-5.

The Cougars have gone 4-3 straight up (SU), including 1-3 SU against Pac-12 opponents. The Ducks are 6-1 SU overall and 4-0 SU in conference play.

The Cougars are coming off a resounding 41-10 win over Colorado last week in which Anthony Gordon completed 35-of-51 passes for 369 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Max Borghi (105 yards on 12 rush attempts, one TD) spearheaded the running attack in the win while Borghi (nine receptions, 57 yards, one TD) and Brandon Arconado (five catches, 109 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties.

The Oregon Ducks just put together a 35-31 win over Washington. The defense allowed the Huskies to run for 125 yards on 34 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. Salvon Ahmed had a productive showing in the loss for Washington, accounting for 140 rushing yards and a score on 24 attempts. For Oregon, Justin Herbert completed 24-of-38 passes for 280 yards and four touchdowns. Cyrus Habibi-Likio (81 rushing yards on 14 attempts, one TD) and CJ Verdell (48 yards on 11 carries) spearheaded the ground game in the win while Johnny Johnson III (five receptions, 90 yards) and Jaylon Redd (five catches, 36 yards, two TDs) led the receiving attack.

Washington State has run the ball on 24.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Oregon has an overall rush percentage of 50.8 percent. The Cougars have produced 92 rush yards/game (including 92.8 per game against Pac-12 opponents) and have seven scores via handoffs this year. The Ducks are totaling 173.6 rush yards per game (164.3 in conference) and have 11 total rushing TDs.

The Cougars offensive scheme has averaged an astonishing 440.7 yards in the air overall (414.3 per game versus conference opposition) and has 31 passing scores so far. The Ducks have put up 283.6 pass yards per outing (257 against Pac-12 foes) and have 23 total pass TDs.

On the defensive side of the ball, Washington State has allowed 177.3 rush yards and 261.9 pass yards per game. The Oregon defense has given up 178.6 yards per game to opposing passers and 110.0 yards per game on the ground. The Ducks are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 2.77 to opposing QBs, while the Cougars have given up a 7.25 ANY/A.

Herbert has completed 140-of-200 passes for 1,621 yards, 19 TDs and one INT for Oregon. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 9.15 for the season and 9.14 over his past two outings. In the other locker room, Gordon has already put up 2,515 passing yards on the year, and has completed 202-of-283 attempts with 26 passing touchdowns and only seven interceptions. Gordon has a pristine 9.23 ANY/A, including 7.94 over the last two outings.

These two teams faced off last year with the final outcome being a 34-20 win for Washington State.

Washington State Cougars at Oregon Ducks Betting Prediction

SU Winner: Oregon, ATS Winner: Oregon, O/U: Under

Betting Trends

  • The Oregon defense has tallied 22 sacks on the year while Washington State has just 14.
  • Both offenses have lost four fumbles this year.
  • The Cougars offense has registered six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Ducks have accounted for two such plays.
  • The Washington State defense has allowed seven pass plays of 40+ yards, while Oregon has given up one such play.
  • The Washington State offense has created six rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Oregon has created nine such runs.
  • The Cougars defense has allowed 10 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Ducks have given up six such runs.
  • The Over/Under for Oregon’s last matchup going into it was 48.5. The over cashed in that 35-31 win over Washington.
  • Over its last three contests, Oregon is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • Over its last three matchups, Washington State is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Washington State’s last game going into it was 68.5. The under cashed in the team’s 41-10 win over Colorado.
  • As a team, Washington State has averaged 5.0 yards per rush attempt over its past three outings and 5.3 over its last two.
  • Oregon has averaged 5.2 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 5.5 over its last two.