In a battle of two schools that prefer to deploy their running games, Head Coach Jamey Chadwell and the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (+13) are set to face off against their SBC rival Arkansas State Red Wolves (-13) at Centennial Bank Stadium. ESPN+ will broadcast the action and the daytime matchup is scheduled to start at 3:00 p.m. ET.
Betting Preview: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
Coastal Carolina is a big road underdog in this SBC game and is currently getting 13 points. The Chanticleers are also receiving +375 moneyline odds while the Red Wolves are -550. This SBC matchup should provide several decent live betting opportunities, and oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 64 points.
The game’s over/under hasn’t changed after it was set initially at 64. Having said that, the line opened at -10 so the early action has moved to the Red Wolves.
The Chanticleers are down 1.4 units so far in 2019 and 5-4 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 5-4.
The Red Wolves have gained 0.3 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 4-5 ATS and also have an O/U record of 5-4.
The Chanticleers have gone 4-5 straight up (SU), including 1-4 SU against SBC opponents. The Red Wolves are 5-4 SU overall and 3-2 SU in conference play.
The Chanticleers fell to Louisiana 48-7 in a blowout where the defense allowed the Ragin’ Cajuns to pass for 339 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 225 yards and three scores. Chris Smith had a productive day for the opposition in that one with 99 rushing yards and a score on eight attempts. On the offensive side of the ball, Bryce Carpenter completed just nine passes on 20 attempts for 71 yards. CJ Marable (54 yards on 10 rush attempts) led the ground attack in the loss. Jeremiah Miller (two receptions, 44 yards) and Shadell Bell (two catches, 18 yards) shared the receiving duties.
Arkansas State just picked up a 48-41 win over Louisiana-Monroe two weeks ago. The team’s defense allowed the Warhawks to rush for 233 yards on 38 attempts, including four rush TDs. Caleb Evans was a bright spot in the loss for Louisiana-Monroe, recording 148 rushing yards and three touchdowns on 12 attempts. For Arkansas State, Layne Hatcher completed 21-of-28 passes for 307 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Marcel Murray (175 rushing yards on 24 attempts, three TDs) and the signal-caller Hatcher (three yards on 11 carries) led the ground game in the win while Omar Bayless (six receptions, 98 yards, one TD) and Kirk Merritt (six catches, 67 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps.
Coastal Carolina has run the ball on 58.5 percent of its offensive plays this year, including 55.6 percent across possessions in conference play. Arkansas State has a rush percentage of 50.5 percent, and has kept it on the ground 56 percent of the time when facing SBC opponents. The Chanticleers have produced 185 rush yards/game (including 136.8 per game versus Sun Belt opponents) and have 19 scores via handoffs this year. The Red Wolves are logging 140.6 rush yards per game (160.2 in conference) and have 12 total rushing TDs.
Judging by the results so far, it seems like the Chanticleers should hold an advantage when it comes to RB efficiency. Their running backs has produced 4.6 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 4.5 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Red Wolves have tallied 3.9 yards per carry and given up a YPC of 5.2 to opponents.
The Chanticleers offense has tallied 201.8 yards per contest through the air overall (194.2 per game versus conference opposition) and has 15 passing TDs so far. The Red Wolves have produced 296.8 pass yards per game (306 in the SBC) and have 24 total pass scores.
Defensively, Coastal Carolina seems to have the upper hand in both facets. The team has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 178.7 yards and pass for 193.7 yards per game. The Arkansas State defense has allowed 273.9 yards per game to opposing passers and 213.4 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Chanticleers have given up an ANY/A of 6.95 to opposing QBs, while the Red Wolves are yielding an ANY/A of 6.6.
Hatcher probably has the advantage over Carpenter in this one. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 8.50 for the year and 7.23 over his last two outings while Carpenter’s ANY/A is 6.80 (and 4.90 over the past two outings).
When these two teams met a year ago, Arkansas State won by four touchdowns 44-16.
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves Free NCAA Betting Tip
SU Winner: Coastal Carolina, ATS Winner: Coastal Carolina, O/U: Under
Team Betting Trends
- The Arkansas State defense has tallied 17 sacks on the year while Coastal Carolina has 15.
- Arkansas State has lost five fumbles this season while the Coastal Carolina offense has lost six.
- The Chanticleers offense has produced three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Red Wolves have accounted for 14 such plays.
- The Coastal Carolina defense has allowed three pass plays of 40+ yards, while Arkansas State has given up eight such plays.
- The Coastal Carolina offense has created 13 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Arkansas State has created 10 such runs.
- The Chanticleers defense has allowed 10 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Red Wolves have given up 15 such runs.
- The Over/Under for Arkansas State’s last game going into it was 69.5. The over cashed in the team’s 48-41 victory over Louisiana-Monroe.
- Over its last three matchups, Arkansas State is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- Over its last three contests, Coastal Carolina is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for Coastal Carolina’s last game was set at 58. The under cashed in the team’s 48-7 loss to Louisiana.
- Coastal Carolina has averaged 3.6 yards per carry over its past three contests and 4.1 over its last two.
- Arkansas State has averaged 3.9 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.2 over its past two.
