The Cincinnati Reds are set to host their cross-state rival Cleveland Indians at Great American Ball Park. This interleague matchup will get going at 1:10 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports Ohio.
Cleveland Indians at Cincinnati Reds Odds
Cincinnati (receiving +115 odds) is the home-team underdog against Cleveland and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this day game at 9.5 runs (+110 for the over and -130 for the under). The game’s most recent runline odds stand at +120 for picking the Indians -1.5 runs and -140 for the Reds +1.5.
The Reds are 48-37 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 41-45 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 0.1 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 4.3 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Indians are 49-38 SU and have gone 42-44 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 3.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.0 units ATS. Cleveland’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Cincinnati games have a 29-53-3 over/under record so far in 2019. Cleveland has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 38-46-2.
Trevor Bauer will get the nod for Cleveland. The right-handed Bauer (7-6, 3.74 ERA) has racked up 140 punchouts in 125 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 1.17 ERA against Cincinnati this year.
The Reds are turning to righty Tyler Mahle (2-8, 4.36 ERA), who’s got 92 strikeouts and 22 walks, in addition to a WHIP of 1.20. Mahle hasn’t faced the Indians yet this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-1, 19.29 ERA across 2.1 innings).
Cincinnati’s pitching staff has given up 3.8 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have a 3.57 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.87 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.7 K/9.
The Cincinnati hitters are putting up 4.3 runs per outing, including 3.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .244/.270/.417 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Third baseman Eugenio Suarez and first baseman Joey Votto have led the Reds’ hitters this year. Suarez is hitting .251/.327/.489 with 20 home runs, 54 RBIs and 42 runs scored, while Votto is batting .271 with eight homers, 22 RBIs and 44 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, Cleveland’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 4.25 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.81 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.51, along with a WHIP of 1.21 and a K/9 of 9.24.
Indians hitters have slashed .241/.322/.411 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (5-0 SU).
First baseman Carlos Santana and shortstop Francisco Lindor continue to lead Cleveland’s hitters. Santana is slashing .298/.417/.540 with 19 home runs, 52 RBIs and 59 runs scored. Lindor (.295/.356/.511) is up to 14 homers, 32 RBIs, 45 runs and 13 steals.
The Indians have lost 7.7 units and are 27-32 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 23 of those games, compared to 34 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 0.3 units and are 34-29 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 22 of those games, compared to 39 that’ve cashed the under.
Indians vs. Reds Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in four of Cleveland’s last seven games.
- The Indians have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit 11 over their last 10.
- The Indians have an OPS of .733 this season and an OPS of .753 against right-handed pitchers. The Reds’ OPS sits at .717 overall and .695 versus righties.
- Cincinnati has recorded 19.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.8 over its last five.
