Cleveland Indians at Cincinnati Reds Free Pick

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Carlos Santana and the Cleveland Indians will travel across Ohio to square off against the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. This interleague matchup will begin at 4:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Ohio to catch the action.

Cleveland Indians at Cincinnati Reds Odds

Las Vegas has Cleveland (-130) as the favorite over Cincinnati (+120). The total currently stands at 9.5 runs and bettors can play the over or the under for -110. There’s a runline of Indians -1.5 (+115) and Reds +1.5 (-135) for this matchup.

The Reds are 41-44 straight up (SU) and 48-37 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 0.1 units for moneyline bettors while earning 4.3 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Indians have gone 48-38 SU this year and are 42-44 against the spread. In total, the team’s lost 3.7 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 3.0 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Cincinnati games have an over/under record of 29-53-3 so far in 2019. Cleveland has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 38-46-2.

The right-handed Shane Bieber is the probable starter for the visiting Indians. Bieber (7-3, 3.54 ERA) has racked up 133 strikeouts in 104.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Reds this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-0, 6.23 ERA and five strikeouts across 4.1 innings).

The Reds are sending righty Anthony DeSclafani (5-4, 4.35 ERA) to the mound. DeSclafani has 84 strikeouts and 24 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.34. DeSclafani is 1-0 with two strikeouts and a 1.59 ERA in one start against Cleveland this year.

Cleveland’s pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.28 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.82 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.52, along with a K/9 of 9.18.

Indians hitters have slashed .241/.321/.409 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

First baseman Carlos Santana and shortstop Francisco Lindor continue to lead Cleveland’s hitters. Santana is slashing .302/.420/.548 with 19 home runs, 52 RBIs and 58 runs scored, while Lindor (.293/.355/.491) has produced 12 homers, 30 RBIs, 43 runs and 13 stolen bases.

For the home team, Cincinnati’s pitching staff has allowed 3.8 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have a 3.58 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.76 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.7 K/9.

The Cincinnati offense has put up 4.3 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .268/.317/.429 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.

Third baseman Eugenio Suarez and first baseman Joey Votto have led the charge for the Reds’ hitters this year. Suarez is slashing .251/.328/.492 with 20 home runs, 54 RBIs and 41 runs scored, while Votto’s line sits at .271/.366/.416 with eight homers, 22 RBIs and 44 runs scored.

The Indians have lost 7.7 units and are 27-32 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 23 of those games, compared to 34 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 0.3 units and are 34-29 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 22 of those games, compared to 39 that’ve cashed the under.

Indians vs. Reds MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in just two of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
  • Cleveland fielders have two errors over the last 10 games, compared to seven errors for Cincinnati over its last 10.
  • The Indians have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit 11 over their last 10.
  • The Indians have a total OPS of .730 this season and an OPS of .749 against right-handed pitchers. The Reds’ OPS sits at .719 overall and .699 against righties.