Cleveland Cavaliers at Oklahoma City Thunder Free Prediction 02/05/20

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The Cleveland Cavaliers (13-38) will travel to Chesapeake Energy Arena to challenge the Oklahoma City Thunder (30-20). The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 5, 2020, and will air on Fox Sports – Ohio.

Cleveland Cavaliers at Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Odds

The Thunder beat the Phoenix Suns in their last game, 111-107, covering as 1-point favorites. The Cavaliers, meanwhile, were topped by the New York Knicks, 139-134, and were not able to cover as 2.5-point underdogs. The Oklahoma City game finished 6 points under the projected point total of 224, while the Cleveland game went 57 points over the projected point total of 216.

The Thunder forced 19 turnovers and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 34.1 (above their season average of 19.3). Cleveland, meanwhile, made 18 of their 35 three pointers (51.4 percent). Chris Paul played well for Oklahoma City, recording 20 points, 10 assists and six rebounds. Kevin Love fueled Cleveland with 33 points, 13 rebounds and six assists.

In their first matchup this year, Steven Adams led the Thunder to a 121-106 victory. He registered a double-double with 10 points and 16 rebounds. The two teams combined to score 227 points, which was over the projected point total of 213.5, and Oklahoma City covered as a 6.5-point favorite. Oklahoma City won the rebounding battle. The Thunder had 18 offensive rebounds and 52 total rebounds, while the Cavaliers had nine and 42, respectively.

Cavaliers games have a tendency to finish over the projected point total (56.9 percent). Cleveland comes into the contest with records of 13-38 straight up (SU) and 21-28-2 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to Cleveland, just over half of Thunder games have finished under the total. Moreover, Oklahoma City is 30-20 SU and 33-16-1 ATS.

The Cavaliers’ Collin Sexton has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 22 points,4.0 assists,1.4 steals per game. Meanwhile, Dennis Schroder has averaged 25 points,6.8 assists during that same time frame for the Thunder.

A focal point for the Oklahoma City offense is getting to the free throw line. The Thunder rank third in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.230), but Cleveland is among the best in the NBA at keeping opponents away from the charity stripe (ranking second by yielding a FTA rate of 0.161).

Cleveland Cavaliers at Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Cavaliers, ATS Winner – Cavaliers, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Cavaliers rank 18th in three pointers attempted per game (31.9) while the Thunder rank 26th (29.9).
  • Oklahoma City ranks fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.2) while Cleveland ranks last (6.4).
  • The Thunder rank fourth in steals allowed per game (6.9) while the Cavaliers rank 28th (9.1).
  • Oklahoma City ranks ninth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.9) while Cleveland ranks 29th (19.9).
  • Cleveland averages 48.4 points in the paint per game, which ranks 13th in the league. Oklahoma City ranks 22nd in points allowed in the paint per game (49.6).
  • The Thunder rank first in fast break points allowed per game (10.7) while the Cavaliers rank 26th (15.0).
  • The Cavaliers rank ninth in second chance points per game (13.7) while the Thunder rank 29th (10.7).
  • Cleveland ranks fifth in rebounds allowed per game (43.0) while Oklahoma City ranks 10th (44.3).
  • Oklahoma City ranks fourth in assists allowed per game (22.7) while Cleveland ranks 29th (26.1).
  • In games where they allow under 100 points, Oklahoma City is 7-3 and Cleveland is 4-3.
  • When reaching the century mark, the Thunder are 29-12 and the Cavaliers are 12-26.
  • Cleveland is 12-11-1 ATS on the road, while Oklahoma City is 13-11-1 ATS at home.
  • The Cavaliers have 14 overs and 10 unders in 24 road games.
  • The Thunder have 13 overs and 12 unders in 25 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Thunder are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Cavaliers are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Oklahoma City has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Cleveland has 4 overs.
  • The Thunder’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 10.4, up from 2.7 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Cavaliers have scored an average of 116.2 points per game (10.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 122.0 points per game (7.0 above their season average).