Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Free Pick

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In Game 2 of a divisional doubleheader, the Cincinnati Reds are set to take the field against the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium. The matchup will get underway at 7:15 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Ohio to catch the action.

Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals Odds

The Reds have gone 63-70 SU this year and are 74-59 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline, despite having gained 6.5 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Cardinals, on the other hand, are 73-59 SU and 70-62 ATS. They’ve gained 3.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.8 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Cardinals games have had an over/under record of 52-70-10 in 2019. The Reds have also been a solid under bet with a total record of 52-75-6.

Sonny Gray will get the start for Cincinnati. The right-handed Gray is 10-6 with a 2.92 ERA and 170 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with 15 strikeouts and a 1.80 ERA against St. Louis this year (two starts).

The Cardinals will put the ball in the right hand of Michael Wacha (6-6, 5.24 ERA), who’s got 87 strikeouts and 47 walks as well as a 1.61 WHIP. Wacha is 1-1 with seven strikeouts and a 2.00 ERA in one start against Cincinnati this year.

Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.05 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.77 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.44, along with a K-per-9 of 9.86.

Reds hitters have slashed .250/.319/.431 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game this year, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Cincinnati’s offense has been powered by third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Suarez is slashing .260/.340/.538 with 38 home runs, 83 RBIs and 74 runs scored, while Iglesias (.296/.324/.416) has produced nine homers, 49 RBIs and 55 runs scored.

In the other dugout, St. Louis’ pitchers have given up 4.2 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have a 4.09 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.65 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 9.8 K/9. In 59 games against divisional opponents, Cardinals starters have an ERA of 4.27 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.99.

The St. Louis offense is putting up 4.6 runs per outing, including 5.1 per game against divisional foes and 7.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .300/.402/.529 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Cardinals’ hitters have been led by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and shortstop Paul DeJong. Goldschmidt is slashing .258/.333/.466 with 29 home runs, 71 RBIs and 81 runs scored, and DeJong’s line sits at .247/.332/.458 with 24 homers, 64 RBIs and 85 runs.

The Reds have lost 4.1 units and are 55-47 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 40 of those games, compared to 58 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Cardinals have netted 4.3 units and are 58-47 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 39 of those games, as opposed to 60 which went under the total.

Reds vs. Cardinals Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Cincinnati has tallied 19 extra-base hits over its last five contests. St. Louis has 20 XBH over its last five.
  • St. Louis has posted 25.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 27.6 over its last five.
  • The Reds have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games, including 12 over their last five.
  • The Reds have a total OPS of .750 this season and an OPS of .737 against right-handed pitchers. The Cardinals’ OPS sits at .735 overall and .731 versus righties.