The Pittsburgh Pirates are set to host their division rival Cincinnati Reds at PNC Park. The matchup begins at 7:05 p.m. ET and you can watch it on either ATPT or FSOH.
Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Vegas has placed equal moneyline odds (-105) on both of these teams. The total stands at 9.5 runs and bettors can take either the over or the under for -110. Runline odds sit at +140 for taking the Reds -1.5 runs and -160 for the Pirates +1.5.
The Pirates are 52-75 straight up (SU) and 60-66 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 12.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 22.1 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Reds have gone 60-66 SU this year and are 70-56 against the spread. Overall, the team’s lost 3.8 units for moneyline gamblers, but have gained 5.6 units ATS. Cincinnati is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Pittsburgh games have an over/under record of 71-49-6 in 2019. Cincinnati has been a great under bet with a total record of 48-72-6.
The right-handed Anthony DeSclafani is the projected starter for Cincinnati. DeSclafani (8-7, 4.40 ERA) has recorded 127 punchouts in 122.2 innings so far. He’s 0-2 with eight strikeouts and an 8.10 ERA against Pittsburgh this year (two starts).
The Pirates will put the ball in the right hand of Mitch Keller (1-2, 8.86 ERA), who’s got 24 strikeouts and 10 walks this season as well as a 2.02 WHIP. Keller is 0-1 with seven strikeouts and a 13.50 ERA in one start against Cincinnati this year.
Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has given up 5.5 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 5.30, a WHIP of 1.43 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a 4.82 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In 58 games against divisional foes, Pirates starters have an ERA of 5.40 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.85.
The Pittsburgh hitters are putting up 4.6 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 1.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .190/.238/.278 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
Outfielder Starling Marte and first baseman Josh Bell have led the Pirates’ hitters this year. Marte is slashing .288/.331/.500 with 22 home runs, 73 RBIs, 85 runs and 24 stolen bases, and Bell is hitting .278 with 31 homers, 99 RBIs and 84 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.99 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.81 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.39, along with a WHIP of 1.26 and a K/9 of 9.80.
Reds hitters have slashed .250/.320/.429 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Cincinnati’s offense has been powered by third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Suarez is slashing .257/.339/.524 with 34 home runs, 78 RBIs and 68 runs scored, while Iglesias is hitting .295/.324/.423 with nine homers, 48 RBIs and 52 runs scored.
The Reds have lost 1.1 units and are 52-44 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 37 of those games, compared to 55 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Pirates have lost 3.9 units and are 47-46 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 49 of those games, as opposed to 39 that’ve gone under.
Reds at Pirates Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Cincinnati has tallied nine extra-base hits over its last five contests. Pittsburgh has eight XBH over its last five.
- The Reds have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Pirates have hit nine over their last 10.
- The Reds have a total OPS of .750 this season and an OPS of .735 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Pirates’ OPS sits at .742 overall and .761 against righties.
- Cincinnati has recorded 21.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 20.6 over its last five.
- The Pirates have dropped five of their last six games SU.
