The Philadelphia Phillies will go for their fourth win in a row when they play host to the Cincinnati Reds at Citizens Bank Park. This NL matchup will begin at 4:05 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports Ohio.
Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Philadelphia (-140) is favored over Cincinnati (+130) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this game at 9.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total currently sit at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. The game’s current runline odds sit at -170 for taking the Reds +1.5 runs and +150 for the Phillies -1.5.
The Phillies are 36-27 straight up (SU) and 32-30 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 4.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 0.1 units ATS. The Reds have gone 28-34 SU this year and are 34-27 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 3.9 units for moneyline gamblers, but have gained 3.7 units ATS.
Phillies games have a 29-31-2 over/under record so far in 2019. The Reds have been a good under bet with a total record of 23-36-2.
Tanner Roark will get the start for the Reds. The right-handed Roark is 4-4 with a 3.47 ERA and 65 strikeouts. This will be his first outing against Philadelphia this year. He made five starts against the team in 2018, compiling a 0-3 record with a 5.55 ERA and 24 strikeouts.
The Phillies will put the ball in the right hand of Nick Pivetta (3-1, 6.14 ERA, 1.60 WHIP), who has 31 strikeouts and 10 walks this season. Pivetta made two starts against the Reds in 2018, putting together a 0-1 record with a 4.85 ERA and 19 strikeouts.
Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.26 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.14 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.
The Philadelphia hitters have produced 4.9 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .234/.285/.431 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Cesar Hernandez has helped lead the Phillies’ offense this season with six home runs, 29 RBIs and 28 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.63 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.84 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.66, along with a WHIP of 1.24.
Reds hitters have slashed .233/.305/.405 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Eugenio Suarez has led Cincinnati’s hitters and is slashing .271/.346/.516 with 14 home runs, 40 RBIs and 32 runs scored.
The Phillies just took the previous game in this series by doubling the Reds up 4-2.
Reds at Phillies Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in five of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
- The Reds have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 14 over their last 10.
- The Reds have an OPS of .710 this season and an OPS of .692 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS stands at .742 overall and .728 against righties.
- Cincinnati has posted 21.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 14.8 over its last five.
- The Reds have lost four of their last five games SU.
