The Miami Marlins are set to host the Cincinnati Reds at Marlins Park. This NL showdown will get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Ohio to catch the game.
Cincinnati Reds at Miami Marlins Odds
Miami (+130) is the home-team underdog to Cincinnati (-140) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total currently sit at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at Reds -1.5 runs (+105) and Marlins +1.5 runs (-125).
The Marlins are 65-65 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 47-84 straight up (SU). The team’s lost 9.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 9.9 units ATS. Miami has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Reds have gone 62-69 SU this year and are 72-58 against the spread. Overall, the club has lost 6.2 units for moneyline bettors, but have gained 5.6 units ATS. Cincinnati is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Miami games have an over/under record of 60-60-10 in 2019. Cincinnati has been a strong under bet with a total record of 51-73-6.
Anthony DeSclafani will get the nod for the visiting Reds. The right-handed DeSclafani is 8-7 with a 4.27 ERA and 131 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-1, 4.76 ERA and 10 strikeouts over 5.2 innings).
The Marlins are countering with Sandy Alcantara (4-11, 4.15 ERA). Alcantara has 108 strikeouts and 71 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.38. Alcantara did not record a start against the Reds in 2018.
Miami’s pitching staff has given up 4.9 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have a 4.53 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.11 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.
The Miami offense has put up 3.7 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 6.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .279/.351/.477 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson have led the Marlins’ hitters this year. Castro is slashing .262/.284/.390 with 13 home runs, 67 RBIs and 44 runs scored, while Anderson is hitting .261 with 20 homers, 66 RBIs and 57 runs.
For the visiting squad, Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.09 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.75 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.49, along with a K/9 of 9.84.
Reds hitters have slashed .251/.321/.432 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game this year, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias continue to lead Cincinnati’s hitters. Suarez is hitting .260/.340/.537 with 37 home runs, 82 RBIs and 72 runs scored. Iglesias is hitting .297/.326/.420 with nine homers, 49 RBIs and 55 runs scored.
The Reds have lost 3.5 units and are 54-46 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 40 of those games, compared to 56 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 7.8 units and are 46-51 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 42 of those games, as opposed to 48 that’ve gone under.
Reds at Marlins Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in three of Cincinnati’s last seven contests.
- The Reds have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.
- The Reds have an OPS of .753 this season and an OPS of .740 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Marlins’ OPS sits at .670 overall and .659 against righties.
- Miami has recorded 22.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.8 over its last five.
- The Marlins have lost three of their last four games SU.
