The Cincinnati Reds will be facing off against their division rival Chicago Cubs in a Tuesday night game. The matchup gets going at 8:05 p.m. ET and fans can watch the game on WLS, FSOH and ESPN.
Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs Odds
The Reds are 70-81 SU and have gone 80-70 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 9.6 units for moneyline bettors, despite having gained 0.3 units ATS. The Cubs, on the other hand, are 82-68 SU and 72-77 ATS. The team’s lost 1.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.9 units ATS.
Cubs games have had an over/under record of 68-70-11 in 2019. The Reds have been a great under bet with a total record of 56-86-8.
Right-hander Sonny Gray is the projected starter for the visiting Reds. Gray is 10-7 with a 2.80 ERA and 190 strikeouts. He’s 2-1 with 28 strikeouts and a 2.70 ERA against Chicago this year (four starts).
The Cubs are putting the ball in the hands of righty Yu Darvish (6-6, 3.97 ERA), who has 204 punchouts and 55 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.11. Darvish is 1-1 with 32 strikeouts and a 4.44 ERA over four starts against Cincinnati this year.
As a unit, Chicago’s pitching staff has given up 4.3 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.10 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.90 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 64 games against NL Central foes, Cubs starters have an ERA of 3.93 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.07.
The Chicago offense is putting up 5.1 runs per outing, including 5.3 per game against divisional foes and 11.8 per game over its last five. The team has hit .366/.453/.689 over its last five matchups and is 5-0 SU during that span.
Third baseman Kris Bryant and shortstop Javier Baez have led the Cubs’ hitters this year. Bryant is hitting .289/.388/.537 with 31 home runs, 77 RBIs and 106 runs scored, while Baez’s line is .281/.316/.532 with 29 homers, 85 RBIs and 88 runs.
In the other dugout, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.05 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.72 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.47, along with a K/9 of 9.83.
The Reds offense has slashed .245/.316/.425 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this season, including 4.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Cincinnati’s hitters have been led by third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Suarez is slashing .270/.352/.578 with 47 home runs, 100 RBIs and 85 runs scored, while Iglesias is hitting .286/.312/.407 with 11 homers, 53 RBIs and 58 runs scored.
The Reds have lost 2.3 units and are 61-52 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 43 of those games, compared to 65 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Cubs have netted 5.6 units and are 59-58 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 55 of those games, compared to 53 that went under the total.
Reds vs. Cubs MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has cashed in only two of Chicago’s last seven games.
- The Reds have a total OPS of .742 this season and an OPS of .733 against right-handed pitchers. The Cubs’ OPS sits at .793 overall and .802 against righties.
- Chicago has posted 29.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 38.6 over its last five.
- The Reds have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
