Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves Free Pick

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The Atlanta Braves are playing host to the Cincinnati Reds at SunTrust Park. Fox Sports Ohio is in line to televise this NL matchup. The first pitch is scheduled for 1:20 p.m. ET.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves Odds

Cincinnati (+100) is the underdog against Atlanta (-110) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 9 runs (-110 for the under and -110 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at -210 for the Reds +1.5 runs and +175 for the Braves -1.5.

The Braves are 66-46 straight up (SU) and 53-58 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 10.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 4.3 units ATS. Atlanta has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven. The Reds are 51-58 SU and have gone 61-47 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 2.6 units for moneyline bettors, but have gained 5.6 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Braves games have had an over/under record of 55-50-6 in 2019. Cincinnati has been a great under bet with a total record of 39-65-4.

Sonny Gray will get the start for the visiting Reds. The right-handed Gray is 6-6 with a 3.45 ERA and 130 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with nine strikeouts and a 6.75 ERA against Atlanta this year.

The Braves will turn to righty Julio Teheran (6-7, 3.38 ERA), who has 114 strikeouts and 56 walks, in addition to a 1.28 WHIP. Teheran is 0-1 with seven strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA in one start against Cincinnati this year.

Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.44 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.15 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.

The Atlanta offense is putting up 5.3 runs per contest, including 5.8 per game over its last 10 games and 5.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .272/.344/.532 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Braves’ batters have been led by first baseman Freddie Freeman and outfielder Ronald Acuna Jr.. Freeman is hitting .302/.394/.557 with 26 home runs, 86 RBIs and 84 runs scored, while Acuna Jr. is hitting .288 with 26 homers, 68 RBIs, 86 runs and 25 stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.87 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.66 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.27, along with a WHIP of 1.25 and a K/9 of 9.69.

Reds hitters have slashed .246/.317/.421 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game this year, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Third baseman Eugenio Suarez and first baseman Joey Votto continue to lead Cincinnati’s hitters. Suarez is slashing .261/.341/.528 with 29 home runs, 71 RBIs and 58 runs scored. Votto is slashing .263/.348/.410 with 11 homers, 36 RBIs and 56 runs scored.

The Reds have lost 2.9 units and are 46-38 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 31 of those games, compared to 50 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 9.2 units and are 42-44 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 42 of those games, compared to 40 that’ve gone under.

Reds at Braves Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has cashed in five of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
  • The Reds have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
  • The Reds have a team OPS of .738 this season and an OPS of .723 against right-handed pitchers. The Braves’ OPS stands at .796 overall and .799 against righties.
  • Cincinnati has posted 20.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.6 over its last five.
  • The Braves have won four of their last five games SU.