The ice-cold Arizona Diamondbacks will try to avoid dropping their seventh in a row as they play host to the Cincinnati Reds at Chase Field. Fox Sports Arizona is in line to broadcast this NL showdown. The game gets underway at 8:10 p.m. ET.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Odds
Arizona (-115) is favored against Cincinnati (+105) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Runline odds sit at -200 for picking the Reds +1.5 runs and +170 for the Diamondbacks -1.5.
The Diamondbacks are 75-73 straight up (SU) and 83-64 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 3.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 13.0 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Reds, on the other hand, are 69-79 SU and have gone 78-69 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 11.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 0.7 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Diamondbacks games have a 67-69-11 over/under record in 2019. Reds games have gone under 83 times, gone over 56 times and pushed on eight occasions.
Right-hander Anthony DeSclafani is projected to start for Cincinnati. DeSclafani is 9-8 with a 4.06 ERA and 150 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA against Arizona this year.
The Diamondbacks will turn to righty Merrill Kelly (10-14, 4.68 ERA), who has 137 strikeouts and 50 walks, in addition to a WHIP of 1.35. Kelly has yet to face the Reds this year and did not record any MLB pitching stats last season.
As a unit, Arizona’s pitchers have yielded 4.6 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have a 4.33 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.35 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.
The Arizona hitters are putting up 5.0 runs per contest, including 2.5 per game over its last 10 games and 1.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .193/.278/.273 over its last five matchups and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.
Ketel Marte and Eduardo Escobar have led the way for the Diamondbacks’ hitters this year. Marte is slashing .327/.389/.594 with 32 home runs, 91 RBIs and 96 runs scored, while Escobar is batting .272 with 34 homers, 113 RBIs and 90 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.08 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.74 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.46, along with a WHIP of 1.25 and a K-per-9 of 9.86.
The Reds offense has slashed .246/.317/.428 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game this year, including 4.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Cincinnati’s hitters have been led by third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Suarez is slashing .268/.348/.571 with 45 home runs, 98 RBIs and 83 runs scored, while Iglesias (.286/.312/.407) is up to 11 homers, 53 RBIs and 58 runs scored.
The Reds have lost 3.8 units and are 59-51 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 43 of those games, compared to 62 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have lost 3.0 units and are 61-45 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 42 of those games, compared to 57 that went under.
Reds at Diamondbacks MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has cashed in four of Arizona’s last seven games.
- The Reds have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
- The Reds have a total OPS of .745 this season and an OPS of .739 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Diamondbacks’ OPS sits at .767 overall and .732 versus righties.
- Arizona has recorded 15.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 13.8 over its last five.
