Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

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Eugenio Suarez and the Cincinnati Reds are heading west to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. Fox Sports Arizona is in line to showcase this NL matchup and the first pitch will be at 9:40 p.m. ET.

Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

Cincinnati (-115) is hosting this game as the favorite against Arizona (+105) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at nine runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at +100 for the under and -120 for the over. This game currently has a runline of Reds -1.5 (+130) and Diamondbacks +1.5 (-150).

The Reds have gone 68-79 SU this year and are 77-69 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 12.1 units for moneyline bettors and 1.9 units ATS. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, are 75-72 SU and 83-63 ATS. They’ve gained 4.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 14.7 units ATS.

Arizona games have an over/under record of 66-69-11 in 2019. The Reds have been a strong under bet with a total record of 55-83-8.

Right-hander Luis Castillo is getting the start for the visiting Reds. Castillo is 14-6 with a 3.21 ERA and 208 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with 10 strikeouts and a 2.35 ERA against Arizona this year.

The Diamondbacks are sending righty Mike Leake (11-10, 4.64 ERA) to the mound. Leake has 115 strikeouts and 24 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.31. Leake is 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 2.84 ERA in one start against Cincinnati this year.

Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.08 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.77 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.47, along with a WHIP of 1.24.

Reds hitters have slashed .247/.318/.428 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Cincinnati’s offense has been fueled by third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Suarez is slashing .269/.349/.570 with 45 home runs, 98 RBIs and 83 runs scored, while Iglesias (.288/.314/.410) is up to 11 homers, 53 RBIs and 58 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.34, a WHIP of 1.29 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.7. The bullpen has a 4.38 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.

The Arizona hitters are putting up 5.0 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 1.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .171/.272/.266 over its last five matchups and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.

Ketel Marte and Eduardo Escobar have led the Diamondbacks’ hitters this year. Marte is hitting .328/.389/.594 with 32 home runs, 91 RBIs and 96 runs scored, while Escobar’s line sits at .270/.321/.529 with 34 homers, 112 RBIs and 90 runs.

The Reds have lost 4.8 units and are 58-51 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 42 of those games, compared to 62 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have lost 1.9 units and are 61-44 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 41 of those games, compared to 57 which went under the total.

Reds vs. Diamondbacks MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in just two of Cincinnati’s last seven outings.
  • The Cincinnati defense has permitted seven errors over the last 10 games, compared to only two errors for Arizona over its last 10.
  • The Reds have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have hit 10 over their last 10.
  • The Reds have an OPS of .746 this season and an OPS of .740 against right-handed pitchers. The Diamondbacks’ OPS sits at .769 overall and .734 versus righties.