Cincinnati Reds at Seattle Mariners Free Pick

Posts AdminArticles, Baseball, MLB

Eugenio Suarez and the Cincinnati Reds will head west to face the Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park. This interleague matchup begins at 10:10 p.m. ET and you can watch the game on both RTNW and FSOH.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners Odds

Las Vegas has Cincinnati (-135) as the favorite over Seattle (+125). You can play matchup’s total with current odds sitting at -110 for over 9.5 runs and -110 for under 9.5. There’s a runline of Reds -1.5 (+110) and Mariners +1.5 (-130) for this matchup.

The Mariners are 58-86 straight up (SU) and 71-73 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 18.6 units for moneyline bettors and 11.6 units ATS. The Reds have gone 67-77 SU this year and are 77-67 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 9.3 units for moneyline gamblers, but have gained 0.1 units ATS.

Seattle games have an over/under record of 80-54-10 in 2019. The Reds have been a great under bet with a total record of 55-82-7.

The right-handed Trevor Bauer is projected to start for the visiting Reds. Bauer (10-12, 4.60 ERA) has racked up 228 strikeouts in 191.2 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with eight strikeouts and a 1.35 ERA against Seattle this year.

The Mariners are putting the ball in the left hand of Justus Sheffield (0-1, 5.51 ERA, 1.78 WHIP), who has 18 strikeouts and nine walks this season. Sheffield has yet to face the Reds this year and did not register a start against them in 2018.

Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.06 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.70 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.48, along with a K-per-9 of 9.90.

The Reds offense has slashed .247/.317/.427 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game this season, including 3.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Cincinnati’s hitters have been led by third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias, who collectively have belted 55 home runs. Suarez is slashing .269/.346/.568 with 44 home runs, 95 RBIs and 81 runs scored, while Iglesias is hitting .292 with 11 homers, 53 RBIs and 58 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 5.7 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have a 5.34 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.02 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.

Seattle’s hitters are putting up 4.8 runs per outing, including 3.8 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .183/.255/.320 over its last five games and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.

Outfielders Domingo Santana and Mallex Smith have led the Mariners’ batters this year. Santana is slashing .256/.332/.449 with 21 home runs, 69 RBIs and 63 runs scored, and Smith’s line is .234/.305/.350 with six homers, 35 RBIs, 66 runs and 40 stolen bases.

Reds at Mariners Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Cincinnati has tallied 16 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Seattle has 11 XBH over its last five.
  • The Mariners have dropped eight of their last nine games SU.
  • Seattle has posted 18.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 16.0 over its last five.
  • The Reds have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
  • The Reds have an OPS of .745 this season and an OPS of .741 against left-handed pitchers. The Mariners’ OPS sits at .752 overall and .758 against lefties.