The Atlanta Braves are set to do battle against the Cincinnati Reds at SunTrust Park. Fox Sports Ohio will televise this NL matchup and the game gets going at 7:20 p.m. ET.
Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves Odds
Cincinnati (receiving +125) is entering this game as the underdog to Atlanta (-135) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs (+110 for the over and -130 for the under). Gamblers can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at -170 for the Reds +1.5 runs and +150 for the Braves -1.5 runs.
The Reds are 51-57 SU and are 60-47 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle a whole lot this year, losing 4.3 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having gained 4.6 units ATS. Cincinnati is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Braves, on the other hand, are 65-46 SU and 53-57 ATS. The team’s gained 12.1 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 3.3 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Atlanta games have a 55-49-6 over/under record in 2019. Cincinnati has been a great under bet with a total record of 39-64-4.
Trevor Bauer is getting the start for the Reds. The right-handed Bauer is 9-8 with a 3.79 ERA and 185 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 2.84 ERA against Atlanta this year.
The Braves will put the ball in the left hand of Dallas Keuchel (3-4, 3.86 ERA, 1.33 WHIP), who has 38 strikeouts and 18 walks this season. Keuchel has yet to face the Reds this year and did not register a start against them in 2018.
As a unit, Atlanta’s pitching staff has allowed 4.8 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.44 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.16 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.
The Atlanta hitters have put up 5.3 runs per outing, including 5.7 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .267/.308/.517 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
First baseman Freddie Freeman and outfielder Ronald Acuna Jr. have paced the Braves’ offense this year. Freeman is hitting .302/.394/.557 with 26 home runs, 85 RBIs and 83 runs scored, and Acuna Jr. is batting .289 with 26 homers, 66 RBIs, 86 runs and 25 steals.
In the visiting dugout, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.85 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.67 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.27, along with a WHIP of 1.25 and a K/9 of 9.66.
Reds hitters have slashed .246/.317/.422 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game this year, including 5.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Third baseman Eugenio Suarez and first baseman Joey Votto continue to lead Cincinnati’s hitters. Suarez is hitting .260/.340/.529 with 29 home runs, 71 RBIs and 57 runs scored, while Votto is hitting .266/.350/.414 with 11 homers, 36 RBIs and 56 runs scored.
The Reds have gained 0.2 units and are 15-9 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in eight of those games, compared to 15 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 9.2 units and are 42-44 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 42 of those games, as opposed to 40 which went under the total.
Reds at Braves Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in three of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
- The Reds have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 17 over their last 10.
- The Reds have a team OPS of .740 this season, including an OPS of .751 against left-handed pitchers. The Braves’ OPS stands at .796 overall and .792 against southpaws.
- Atlanta has posted 24.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.4 over its last five.
